Dayton vs Richmond Prediction and Odds (Trust Dayton as Road Underdog)
By Joe Summers
After a loss to La Salle snapped a five-game winning streak, the 20-9 Dayton Flyers hope to get back in the win column against the 19-10 Richmond Spiders tonight at 6:30 p.m. EST.
Prior to that loss, the Flyers had won 12 of 14 and covered the spread in five straight. Richmond, on the other hand, has won two straight but is just 1-4-1 against the spread (ATS) over their last six.
Will the Spiders notch a third-straight win or will Dayton overcome a blip to keep rolling?
Here are the odds via WynnBET:
Dayton vs Richmond Odds, Spread and Total
Spread
- Dayton +2 (-110)
- Richmond -2 (-110)
Moneyline:
- Dayton: +112
- Richmond: -130
Total:
- 132.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Dayton vs Richmond Prediction and Pick
On the one hand, you've got a team that ranks 30th in adjusted defensive efficiency and 32nd in effective field goal percentage. This team has covered the spread in six of seven, is 5-3 ATS in its last eight road games and is 6-3 outright as an underdog this year.
On the other hand, you've got a team that's 150th in adjusted defensive efficiency and 76th in effective field goal percentage. This team is 2-8-1 ATS over its last 11 home games and has covered as a home favorite just once in their last four tries.
The first team is better, right? Now here's the kicker. The first team is an underdog today. That's right, baby! Give me the Dayton Flyers in one of my favorite bets of the day.
The Flyers, with their 41st-ranked 3-point shooting percentage, should be able to score with ease against a Spiders perimeter defense that's a meager 265th in opposing 3-point shooting. On defense, Dayton's 32nd-best two-point defense will stifle a Richmond team that wants to score inside.
With the 311th-highest offensive rebounding rate, the Spiders won't be able to create second-chance opportunities for themselves either. I'm stunned the Flyers are underdogs and love this spot for them. Give me Dayton to improve to 7-3 outright as an underdog as they cruise by a Richmond squad that has been poor at home the entire season.
Pick: Dayton +112
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.