Derek Carr vs. Joe Burrow: Who Will Have More Passing Yards?
By Reed Wallach
The Cincinnati Bengals are in Las Vegas to face the Raiders off of a bye week on Sunday in Week 11 action.
Can the Bengals get back on track after dropping two straight before the week off? They will need emerging star Joe Burrow to get on track against a vulnerable Raiders secondary to do so.
As for Vegas, they are losers of two straight as well, including a 41-14 loss last week to the Chiefs at home. Derek Carr will look to get the team back on track against a Bengals pass defense that struggled with Mike White and Baker Mayfield recently.
Here are each player's passing yards prop, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.
Joe Burrow Passing Yards: 272.5 (Over -125/Under -115)
This is an easy over play for me.
Over his last six games, Burrow is averaging more than 309 yards through the air and will be facing a Raiders secondary that is 23rd in EPA per drop back this season.
This is a great spot for the Bengals offense to get right and attack a secondary that was just carved up by Patrick Mahomes. We have seen the likes of Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins have big outings this season and the Raiders defense might be just what the doctor ordered for a team that needs a win.
PICK: OVER 272.5
Derek Carr Passing Yards: 286.5 (Over -125/Under -115)
Carr has passed for more than 300 yards in six of 10 games this season, but I'm going to side with the under on this one.
Cincinnati bolsters a stout secondary that is 11th in EPA per drop back and may force the Raiders offense to lean on Josh Jacobs and Kenyan Drake.
This number is simply too high to play on the over, and I expect Burrow to put up the better stat line than the Raiders QB.
PICK: UNDER 286.5