Devin Clark vs. William Knight Prediction and Odds for UFC on ESPN 34

Feb 12, 2022; Houston, Texas, UNITED STATES; William Knight (red gloves) fights Maxim Grishin (blue
Feb 12, 2022; Houston, Texas, UNITED STATES; William Knight (red gloves) fights Maxim Grishin (blue / Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The UFC is fresh off an exciting pay-per-view, UFC 273, and now heads back to the APEX facility for a fight night card which features a fight between two rising Welterweight contenders in the main event.

I'm focusing on the heavyweight battle that stands as the featured preliminary card fight for this betting preview. Two typical Light Heavyweights are moving up to Heavyweight to battle on ESPN with William Knight squaring off with Devin Clark.

Before we break down where the betting value lies, let's check out the odds for this bout from WynnBET Sportsbook:

2022 UFC Record: 15-15 (+2.61 Units)

Devin Clark vs. William Knight Fight Odds


  • Clark: -175
  • Knight: +145

Total: 2.5 (Over -165/Under +140)

Devin Clark vs. William Knight Prediction and Pick

The weight class is very important to the bet here. Knight missed his Light Heavyweight weight by 12 pounds last time out, a UFC record, coming in at 218 pounds. While his fight still went on as planned (he lost), Knight proved that it is tough for him to get down to 205. Knight mentioned after the weight cut just that and considering he took that fight on short notice, it was too difficult for him to make it on the scales.

Now, he is fighting at a weight class he has fought at before and closer to his walk around weight. Meanwhile, Clark is typically fighting at Light Heavyweight and has experience down a weight class at Middleweight. Now, he is making the jump to Heavyweight for this bout.

I see an edge here to back Knight as an underdog at a better weight class for him. Clark may have more UFC fights on his ledger, but this is the first time he is at Heavyweight. Knight has been able to push fights against the cage before and control grappling exchanges, if he is able to get this to the ground, I expect "Knightmare" to take rounds with ease.

Undersized a bit, Knight stands just 5'10" but boasts a 73" reach, this matchup will suit him nicely given that Clark is 6'0" and has a 75" reach. For example, Knight's last matchup was against Maxim Grishin, who is 6'3" with a 78" reach. I think this is the perfect storm to take a shot on the underdog Knight at a weight he may be more comfortable at long term.

LEAN: Knight +145

You can find all of Reed's bets HERE!