Devontae Booker vs. Darrel Williams: Who Will Have More Rushing Yards in Giants vs. Chiefs?
By Ben Heisler
Two first half underperforming clubs match up tonight at Arrowhead Stadium where the Kansas City Chiefs are 10.5-point favorites at home against the New York Giants.
In addition to plenty of discussion regarding who will cover the spread on Monday night, fare best in game props as well as how to stack up a same game parlay, bettors can debate which of the two starting running backs will fare best against each other.
For the Giants, Devontae Booker has stepped in for Saquon Barkley, albeit with modest results. Booker is averaging only 3.2 yards per carry on the season, but has been somewhat effective in the passing game, catching 12 of his 14 targets for 73 yards.
Meanwhile, Williams carried the ball 21 times for a pedestrian 62 yards two weeks ago in his first start of the season, and didn't do much else the following week versus the Tennessee Titans when Kansas City found itself down big in the first half.
Over at WynnBET Sportsbook, Booker is projected to run for 51.5 yards, with split action on both the over and under. Williams, is predicted to end up closer to 60.5 yards. The under, however, is significantly favored at -135.
Who will finish with more rushing yards at the conclusion of the game?
Devontae Booker Rushing Yards Prop
- Over/Under 51.5 Rushing Yards
Since Barkley went down, Booker has seen an average of 14 rushing attempts in his last three games to go along with two touchdowns. In those games, Booker has run for 42, 41 and 51 yards respectively.
The good news is he's been consistent with his opportunity. The bad news, however, is that he has yet to clear 51.5 rushing yards in a game all season.
The Chiefs defense should allow him to conquer that mission. Kansas City is 28th in rushing yards allowed, 29th in touchdowns and 29th in yards/attempt. The Chiefs were even higher before their blowout loss to the Titans, but they actually held Derrick Henry to only 86 yards on 29 attempts for a long of 11. Henry entered the week as the NFL's leading rusher by a wide margin, so if there was a silver lining from the Chiefs' 27-3 loss on the road, it was that.
Even if Booker doesn't exceed his 4 yards per carry average, I still expect this over to hit in large part due to the Giants' commitment to the running game and trying to chew up clock to keep Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City's offense off the field.
PICK: OVER 51.5 RUSHING YARDS - "57"
Darrel Williams Rushing Yards Prop
- Over/Under 60.5 Rushing Yards
The Chiefs have the much more favorable game script to run Williams this week as double-digit favorites at WynnBET, but does that mean we should still trust Williams to pick up more than the projected total?
On the surface, it would seem like the answer is yes. New York is just three teams ahead of Kansas City in rushing yards allowed this season. Before their Week 7 victory over the Carolina Panthers, the Giants had allowed the New Orleans Saints, Dallas Cowboys and Los Angeles Rams to run for an average of 167.3 yards against them. The caveat, however, is that all three of those teams are amongst the best running teams in football. The Chiefs rank right in the middle of the pack at 13th in the NFL.
As for Williams, he only cleared the 60-yard mark once this season, and he needed 21 attempts just to get there in Week 6 vs. Washington. The Giants, despite their 2-5 record, are not a completely slouch of a team just yet, and while the Chiefs have handled the NFC East with ease this year, they have yet to cover the spread at home through three games. Even with a large line, it's awfully difficult to trust a team like Kansas City to put inferior teams away.
Even with a large lead, I don't envision Williams being the dominant back to the point where he gets over the number, although I expect a 40-50 yard performance on about 12-15 carries.
PICK: UNDER 60.5 rushing yards - "51"