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Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction and Odds for Friday, July 15 (Pitching Matchup Favors Padres)

By Joe Summers

Yu Darvish has a 1.69 ERA at home ahead of tonight's matchup with Arizona
Yu Darvish has a 1.69 ERA at home ahead of tonight's matchup with Arizona / Sean M. Haffey/GettyImages
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Two struggling teams square off in San Diego tonight as the Padres host the Arizona Diamondbacks at 9:40 PM EST.

Just 2-6 over their last eight, Arizona sends Madison Bumgarner to the mound coming off seven strong innings against Colorado in which he allowed just two runs. He's got a 4.38 ERA on the road with discouraging underlying metrics, though he did limit the Padres to one run over five innings the last time he faced them.

San Diego turns to Yu Darvish, who brings a 1.69 home ERA into the contest. With a quality start in every home start this season, Darvish excels at PETCO Park and hopes to give the Padres just their second win in seven games.

Can Darvish continue his dominance at home or will Arizona pick up a much-needed road win?

Let's take a peak at the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to help find the value ahead of this Diamondbacks vs Padres matchup:

Diamondbacks vs Padres Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Diamondbacks +1.5 (-145)
  • Padres -1.5 (+120)

Moneyline:

  • Diamondbacks: +163
  • Padres: -178

Total:

  • 7.5 (Over +100/Under -120)

Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction and Pick

The Padres are really struggling of late, but tonight is the perfect spot for a bounce-back performance with Yu Darvish taking on Madison Bumgarner.

Darvish has been unbelievable at home this season, sporting a 1.69 ERA with a quality start in all eight outings. San Diego is 1-7 in its last eight as a home favorite, but that's just giving us value on Darvish against one of the easiest pitchers to fade.

Madison Bumgarner gave up nine hits and six runs in San Diego a couple of weeks ago and his MLB Statcast Pitching Profile is atrocious:

The Diamondbacks have lost each of Bumgarner's last three road starts by a combined score of 21-4. I expect their misery to continue and love getting plus money on the Padres' run line.

Trust Darvish at home as San Diego gets back on track with a critical home victory.

Pick: Padres -1.5 (+120)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.

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