MLB Picks

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction and Odds for Wednesday, June 22 (San Diego Takes Care of Business at Home)

Matt De Saro
San Diego Padres v Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres v Colorado Rockies / Matt Thomas/San Diego Padres/GettyImages
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One of the best and one of the worst teams in the NL West are set to do battle today when the San Diego Padres host the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Despite technically being division rivals, there are not many similarities between these two teams. The Diamondbacks already lost the first game of this series but also went 6-9 in their previous 15 games. The Padres, meanwhile, got swept by the Rockies over the weekend in a surprising outcome. But, they remain in first place in the NL West after an explosive start to June. After winning Game 1 of the series, The Padres moved to 4-1 SU against the D-Backs and have a good shot to improve on that record today. 

Here are the odds for this game, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, and Total

Run Line

  • Diamondbacks: +1.5 (-155)
  • Padres: -1.5 (+130)

Moneyline:

  • Diamondbacks: +145
  • Padres: -160

Total:

  • 8 (Over +100/Under -120)

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction and Pick

I said above that these teams don’t have much in common. While that is true, both of today’s starters have a lot of similarities. Madison Bumgarner and Mike Clevinger are both guys in their early 30s who are having better-than-average seasons. Both have ERAs right around 3.60 with WHIPs of 1.30.

Heading into this game, I do see one major difference between the two, however. Clevinger didn’t make his debut until May 4 and has just five starts under his belt this year. This will be Bumgarner’s 15th start of the year. While this means that Clevinger has a fresher arm, it also means he isn’t stretched out yet. Clevinger is averaging just 3.7 innings per start and is leaving a lot of work for the bullpen to clean up. Despite this, the Padres are 4-1 in games that Clevinger appears in and are a much better team overall. 

If this game was happening 10 years ago I would be more hesitant to fade Bumgarner. But times change. 

Pick: Padres ML (-160)


Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE

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