Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Prediction and Odds for Sunday, July 3 (Kuhl's Home Dominance Continues)

Chad Kuhl threw a complete game shutout against the Dodgers in his last start
Chad Kuhl threw a complete game shutout against the Dodgers in his last start / Harrison Barden/Colorado Rockies/GettyImages

The 34-44 Colorado Rockies host the 35-43 Arizona Diamondbacks this afternoon at 3:10 PM EST to wrap up a three-game series.

These clubs split the first two contests and will each send perhaps their best starters to the mound today as Chad Kuhl takes on Zac Gallen.

Kuhl is coming off a complete game shutout of the Dodgers and has a 2.48 ERA at home. Given his home games are at Coors Field, that mark is impressive and illustrates how well he's pitched there.

Gallen is in a slump after compiling a 5.26 ERA in June but still brings a 4-2 record and 3.32 ERA into Colorado today.

Can Gallen get back on track to give Arizona a series win on the road or will Kuhl and the Rockies hold serve at home?

Let's peak at the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to find the value in this Diamondbacks vs Rockies series finale:

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Diamondbacks -1.5 (+125)
  • Rockies +1.5 (-150)


  • Diamondbacks: -113
  • Rockies: +103


  • 11.5 (Over -105/Under -115)

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction and Pick

Throwing a complete game shutout against the Dodgers at Coors Field is like beating Joey Chestnut in a hot dog eating contest at Coney Island after first devouring a three-course meal. That kind of thing just isn't supposed to happen, and Chad Kuhl scarfed down those Oscar Meyer's anyway.

In his last three home starts, Kuhl shutout Los Angeles, limited the Guardians to two runs, and held the Braves scoreless over six innings. Now, he's an underdog to a Diamondbacks team that ranks 24th in OPS against right-handed pitchers over the last three weeks. What gives?

Well, Zac Gallen gives. The 26-year-old ranks in the 85th percentile in hard hit percentage and has a 3.10 ERA on the road. That being said, I think oddsmakers are putting a bit too much stock into his early-season performance and aren't considering his poor recent form. Arizona has lost three straight on the road behind him and his 5.26 June ERA underscores a larger problem.

The Diamondbacks are a pathetic 2-7 in their last nine as a road favorite while the Rockies have won five of six as home underdogs. Thus, I see value with Kuhl. But I also like the under. It's 7-2 in that poor Arizona stretch as road favorites and 7-3-1 in Colorado's last 11 as home 'dogs and 5-1 in Kuhl's starts at Coors Field.

I'll happily back the trends and expect a strong performance from each pitcher, but Kuhl's current form is too impressive to ignore. He'll take relish on his hot dog this time, Joey.

Pick: Rockies (+103) and Under 11.5 (-115)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.