Diamondbacks vs. White Sox Prediction and Odds for Sunday, August 28 (Trust Dylan Cease at Home)

Dylan Cease hasn't been his typical dominant self in recent weeks, compiling a 3.63 ERA this month, but the Chicago White Sox hope they get his best effort in a critical game against the Arizona Diamondbacks today.

The White Sox sit five games behind the Cleveland Guardians in the AL Central, quickly losing hope in the playoff race.

Zach Davies aims to give Arizona a second consecutive upset victory, allowing just one run in each of his last two starts. He's struggled on the road though, with a 4.37 ERA.

Can Chicago get back on track behind Cease or will Davies pull off the victory? Let's take a peak at the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to help find the value in this Diamondbacks vs White Sox matchup:

Diamondbacks vs White Sox Odds, Run Line and Total

Diamondbacks vs White Sox Prediction and Pick

Zach Davies has been extremely luck in recent outings. Here is his expected FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) from his last seven starts:

8/23 @ KCR: 5.90

8/17 @ SFG: 3.68

8/12 @ COL: 4.40

8/07 vs COL: 4.88

8/01 @ CLE: 7.32

6/25 vs DET: 5.27

6/20 @ SDP: 5.82

For reference, Marco Gonzales has MLB's worst expected FIP this season at 4.88. Davies is consistently pitching much worse than baseball's worst starter, so this is a perfect game for the White Sox lineup to do some damage.

I'm willing to chalk Dylan Cease's recent struggles up to just a couple of poor outings, and I trust his body of work on the season. This is one of MLB's most dominant pitchers, and I expect a bounce-back performance today.

Chicago won five games in a row on the run line as home favorites before yesterday's clunker. I'm fading Davies and backing the White Sox to pick up another convincing win thanks to Cease.

Pick: White Sox -1.5 (+120)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.