Dodgers vs Cubs Doubleheader Prediction and Odds for Saturday, May 7th (Dodgers Set to Roll)
By Joe Summers
Don't look now, but the 9-15 Cubs look like one of the worst teams in baseball ahead of their doubleheader with the 16-7 Dodgers. They're 3-11 over their last 14 games, with seven of those losses coming by multiple runs.
Things won't get easier against the all-world squad Los Angeles has put together. Winners of three straight, the Dodgers will pitch Clayton Kershaw in the first game at 1:05 PM EST and Tyler Anderson in the second at 7:40 PM EST.
Chicago will counter with Drew Smyly in the first game and Daniel Norris in the second.
Dating back to last season, Los Angeles has won three straight against Chicago. Will the Cubs' free-fall continue or can they pull off a pair of upset victories?
Let's check out the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to help find some value in this Dodgers vs Cubs doubleheader matchup:
Dodgers vs Cubs Game 1 Odds, Run Line and Total
Run Line:
- Dodgers -1.5 (TBD)
- Cubs +1.5 (TBD)
Moneyline:
- Dodgers -225
- Cubs +200
Total:
- TBD
Dodgers vs Cubs Game 1 Prediction and Pick
Cubs' starter Drew Smyly returns from the bereavement list tasked with standing toe-to-toe against the best pitcher of our generation, Clayton Kershaw. Smyly has looked up to the task this year, though, ranking in the 99th percentile in average exit velocity and in the 94th percentile in chase rate.
He's amassed a 2.79 ERA through four starts, though his lone home start was his worst (four ER in five innings against the Pirates).
While Smyly and the pitching staff have performed well, it's the Cubs' offense that's been a disaster. They're averaging 1.5 runs per game over their last six contests with an OPS of .474. For context, the worst OPS of all-time belongs to the 1884 Washington Nationals and even they still got to .500. So, as of this moment, Chicago's lineup is hitting worse than the worst team in the history of baseball.
It's unfortunate, then, that their reward is to square off against one of the best pitchers of all-time in Clayton Kershaw. The three-time Cy Young winner has a 2.35 ERA and has surrendered one run or fewer in three of his four outings.
Smyly should pitch well, but he doesn't go deep into games so the advantage he has over the Dodgers' lineup will be mitigated over the course of the game. Chicago's offense, meanwhile, has given us no reason whatsoever to think they'll score.
I'll back Los Angeles to win on the run line behind a dominant start from Kershaw, but the under is a bet for me as well. It's hit in 10 of the Dodgers' last 13 already, and with how bad the Cubs are hitting I think that trend continues.
Pick: Dodgers -1.5 and Under
Dodgers vs Cubs Game 2 Odds, Run Line and Total
Run Line:
- Dodgers -1.5 (TBD)
- Cubs +1.5 (TBD)
Moneyline:
- Dodgers (TBD)
- Cubs (TBD)
Total:
- TBD
Dodgers vs Cubs Game 2 Prediction and Pick
Tyler Anderson seems to have really found something this season. He ranks in the 97th percentile in average exit velocity and 89th in chase rate while surrendering two runs or fewer in all four of his starts. With the issues Chicago's offense is having I discussed above, Anderson should have another strong outing.
The same can't be said for Cubs' starter Daniel Norris, who will serve as an opener for a bullpen day for Chicago. He has a 6.00 ERA on the year and got shelled for three runs in his lone inning against the Dodgers last season.
Chicago's bullpen will likely already be taxed after the first game, as Smyly typically only pitches four or five innings. Then they have to turn around and pitch a full game against Los Angeles' fiery lineup?
This has "blowout" written all over it. The Cubs won't be able to keep up with the Dodgers for long, if at all. Give me the Dodgers to win both games convincingly and send Chicago farther into their tailspin.
Pick: Dodgers -1.5
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.