Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction and Odds for Friday, May 27 (Trust Diamondbacks As Home Dogs)

The Dodgers' offense rebounded from getting shut-out on Wednesday in resounding fashion, scoring 14 in a dominant win over Arizona yesterday. They've now won 10 of 12, with seven straight wins coming on the run line.

Ross Pepiot returns from a couple of strong starts minors to make his third start of the year. The former third-round pick gave up just three runs to the Diamondbacks a couple of weeks ago, but struggled with command and only lasted four innings.

Arizona will send out Madison Bumgarner to take on the youngster. He has a 1.88 ERA in four home starts, though he's been worse in May than April.

Can Bumgarner give the Diamondbacks revenge or will Los Angeles keep rolling?

Let's check out the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to find some value in this Dodgers vs Diamondbacks matchup:

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

• Dodgers -1.5 (-105)
• Diamondbacks +1.5 (-115)

Moneyline:

• Dodgers: -149
• Diamondbacks: +139

Total:

• 9.5 (Over -125/Under +105)

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction and Pick

Arizona is quietly having a great month. They've won five of seven behind a lineup that ranks fourth in OPS against right-handed pitchers this month. Ryan Pepiot has a ton of promise but a significant command issue. Through seven major league innings, he's issued eight walks.

Thanks to a patient approach, the Diamondbacks average the fifth-most walks per game in MLB. The Dodgers happen to lead baseball in walks per game, but Madison Bumgarner has allowed only three free passes total his last four starts, so he should be able to mitigate the damage.

While the former World Series MVP has been much worse in May than he was in April, three of his four starts were on the road. He clearly prefers pitching at Chase Field, as evidenced by his 1.88 ERA at home.

The Diamondbacks have won four of Bumgarner's last five starts. Because they were underdogs in each, a $100 bettor would be up $455 if you bet Arizona's moneyline in each game. That one loss did come to the Dodgers, but it was in Los Angeles instead of the comfy confines of Arizona.

Arizona is a team I'm looking to target moving forward. They're on an 11-8 outright run as a underdog but an incredible 14-5 stretch on the run line. With a potent offense, stellar rotation and strong homefield advantage, I love the value on the Diamondbacks to continue their feisty play and keep this game close.

Pick: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-115)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.