Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction and Odds for Wednesday, September 14 (Take the Under in the Desert)
By Ben Heisler
The Los Angeles Dodgers look to sweep away the Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday night, and pick up their fifth consecutive road win in the process from Chase Field in downtown Phoenix.
L.A has outscored Arizona 10-0 in the first two games of the series so far, and the Dodgers are 11-2 against their division mates this season. They're 8-2 over their last 10 games, and outscoring opponents by 42 runs.
Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks started off September with four wins in five games, but have since lost six of their last seven.
The Dodgers send right-hander Michael Grove to the hill tonight against fellow right-hander Zach Davies.
Are the oddsmakers giving the Diamondbacks a shot to salvage the series? Here are the latest odds:
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line and Total
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction and Pick
If there's ever an opportunity for Arizona to break out of its offensive slump, facing Grove at home may be their best opportunity. The rookie right-hander has made two starts for the Dodgers this season, giving up five runs in only 9.1 innings for a 4.82 ERA.
However, it's worth nothing that Grove has been incredibly unlucky in those starts; with a Fielding Independent Pitching, or FIP of 3.22 and an even lower expected ERA (xERA) of 2.92.
As for Davies, prior to a rough start in Coors Field his last time out, he actually looked pretty decent. Over his last six starts, he pitched to a 2.32 ERA in 31.1 innings, not allowing more than three earned runs in any of those outings. At Chase Field this season, he's been pretty solid with a 3.14 ERA in 51.2 innings; giving up just four home runs compared to 14 on the road.
Ultimately, I'll lean under here as I don't trust Arizona's offense one bit against a pitcher due for some positive regression, and Davies' strong numbers at home lead me to think we see a lower number than what Vegas projects.