Dodgers vs. Giants Prediction and Odds for Sunday, June 12 (Trends Point to Under)

The under is 8-1-1 in Julio Urias' last 10 starts for the Dodgers
The under is 8-1-1 in Julio Urias' last 10 starts for the Dodgers / Katelyn Mulcahy/GettyImages
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The 32-26 San Francisco Giants aim for a sweep of the 37-22 Los Angeles Dodgers today at 4:05 PM EST.

After spoiling Clayton Kershaw's return from the injured list yesterday, the Giants will send Carlos Rodon to the mound for the series finale. Rodon has struggled of late, failing to complete the sixth inning in any of this last three starts as the Giants have lost five consecutive games he's started.

The Dodgers will counter with Julio Urias, who brings a 3-5 record and 2.78 ERA into the contest. Los Angeles is just 1-5 in his last six starts, though the losses are more due to a lack of run support than struggles by the 25-year-old lefty.

Can Urias lead the Dodgers to a win and salvage a game in the series or will San Francisco pull off an impressive sweep?

Let's check out the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to help find the value in this Dodgers vs Giants matchup:

Dodgers vs Giants Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Dodgers -1.5 (+130)
  • Giants +1.5 (-160)

Moneyline:

  • Dodgers: -132
  • Giants: +122

Total:

  • 8.0 (Over -115/Under -105)

Dodgers vs Giants Prediction and Pick

The Dodgers are just 4-8 over their last dozen contests and are searching for answers. Their vaunted lineup is struggling in key moments, like last night in the 7th inning when they had the bases loaded with nobody out. Freddie Freeman struck out before Trea Turner grounded into a double play, and moments like that have defined their poor stretch recently.

They won't be terrible in the clutch forever, though an inability to take advantage of opponent's mistakes is certainly a problem. I fully believe they'll turn things around sooner than later, but I worry about their lineup against a strong pitcher like Rodon.

San Francisco has lost five straight games Rodon has started, but he's been pretty unlucky on the season. He has a 3.51 ERA, but his 2.65 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) implies he's pitched better than his surface-level numbers indicate.

Urias, on the other hand, has been fortunate to amass only a 2.78 ERA, as his 4.61 FIP is representative of a back-end rotation type of starter as opposed to an ace.

When it comes down to it though, I can't trust either team in this spot. Los Angeles' clutch hitting has been a disaster in the last two weeks, and the Giants have been inconsistent. So instead of a side, I'll look to the total for value.

The Under is 8-1-1 in Urias' last 10 starts and 5-0 in his last five on the road. It's also 6-1-1 in the Dodgers' last eight as a road favorite and 7-3-1 in the Giants' last 11 as a home underdog. With cloudy skies in the forecast, the ball shouldn't be flying off the bat and I expect a strong performance from each pitcher. Or at the least, a strong performance from one should be enough to get the job done for the under.

Pick: Under 8.0 (-105)


Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.