UPDATE: Tony Gonsolin has been placed on the IL and won't start tonight.
The Los Angeles Dodgers almost feel preordained to win the World Series this year.
They're 24-6 over their last 30 games, averaging 7.25 runs per game in their last eight contests. It's unfair, honestly.
Tony Gonsolin hopes to keep the wins rolling as he takes the mound against Pablo López and the Miami Marlins today. In the midst of an absurdly successful season, Gonsolin has a 16-1 record with a 2.10 ERA. He's only allowed two earned runs this month, good for a 0.76 ERA.
Lopez comes off six shutout innings against Oakland, but he's struggling in August, with a 5.06 ERA. Miami is 1-4 in his last five outings, though he's fared much better in night games like tonight's matchup.
Can Miami pull off a miracle win at home or will Los Angeles carry on? Let's take a peak at the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to help find out:
Dodgers vs Marlins Odds, Run Line and Total
Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction and Pick
You'd be a wealthy person if you just bet the Dodgers' run line every game this season. They're an absurd 79-47 on the spread, securing all but nine of their 88 wins by multiple runs. This is as dominant a team as I can remember, and I'm not optimistic the Marlins can hang around tonight.
López ranks in just the 17th percentile in barrel percentage, which is bad against an all-world offense that reads like a video game All-Star team. With an expected FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) above 4.57 in four of his last five home starts, Lopez just doesn't look sharp. If he locates his curveball well, then he could frustrate Los Angeles' batters, but he's been poor against the best lineups he's faced to this point.
It doesn't help the Marlins' cause that Tony Gonsolin is having a career year. He's allowed more than two earned runs just three times in 23 starts, and Miami ranks dead last in OPS during August.
It may sound boring to just take the Dodgers, but sometimes success is boring. Miami is 4-17 in its last 21 games as home underdogs, while Los Angeles is putting together one of the most impressive seasons by a team in quite some time.
Stick with Gonsolin, Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman and the rest of the insane talent in the Dodgers' clubhouse. They'll earn a convincing win yet again tonight.
PICK: Dodgers -1.5 (-130)
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.