Betsided

Dodgers vs. Mets Prediction and Odds for Tuesday, August 30 (Dodgers Dominate Potential Playoff Preview)

By Joe Summers

The Dodgers are 5-1 in Andrew Heaney's last six starts ahead of tonight's series opener in New York
The Dodgers are 5-1 in Andrew Heaney's last six starts ahead of tonight's series opener in New York / Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
facebooktwitterreddit

The two best National League teams open up a series tonight as the New York Mets host the Los Angeles Dodgers. New York holds a slim three-game lead over Atlanta in the NL East, hoping to avoid squandering a division they've controlled all season.

Taijuan Walker gets the start for the Mets, bringing a 10-3 record and 3.38 ERA into the contest. He's got a 7.71 ERA this month though, struggling to go deep into games as New York is 1-3 in his last four outings.

Los Angeles sends Andrew Heaney to the mound after he threw six strong innings against the Brewers last week. He's given up four home runs in his last two outings, which could spell trouble against a powerful Mets lineup.

Who has the edge in this potential postseason preview? Let's take a peak at the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to help find out:

Dodgers vs Mets Odds, Run Line and Total

Dodgers vs Mets Prediction and Pick

Any day we get to back the Dodgers at a short price is a good day. Despite being just -134 on the moneyline, there's several reasons to feel comfortable betting Los Angeles.

Let's start with the pitching matchup. Andrew Heaney has 10 strikeouts in each of his last two starts, settling in nicely to the Dodgers' rotation. Los Angeles is 5-1 over his last six outings as he's yet to surrender more than three runs in a game.

With an expected FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) below 2.50 in each of his last three starts, Heaney is in much stronger form than Taijuan Walker. Check out Walker's expected FIP from each outing since the end of July:

  • 8/23 @ NYY: 4.89
  • 8/16 @ ATL: 7.59
  • 8/10 vs CIN: 5.17
  • 8/05 vs ATL: 13.46
  • 7/31 @ MIA: 5.10
  • 7/26 vs NYY: 5.08

Marco Gonzales' 4.88 expected FIP is the worst among all qualified starters, so Walker has been MLB's worst starting pitcher for over a month. That, um, doesn't bode well against the Dodgers.

Los Angeles has one of the best collections of offensive talent we've ever seen. Walker might not make it out of the third inning with how he's pitching. Meanwhile, the Mets are 26th in OPS against left-handed pitchers this month.

Look for the Dodgers to earn a convincing win to improve to 80-48 on the run line this season.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (+125)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.

Home/MLB Picks