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Dodgers vs. Royals Prediction and Odds for Saturday, August 13 (Dodgers' Lineup Stays Hot)

By Joe Summers

The Dodgers scored at least six runs in eight of their last 10 games
The Dodgers scored at least six runs in eight of their last 10 games / Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
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With at least eight runs in five of its last six games, you could say the Los Angeles Dodgers' lineup is feeling it.

It'll hope to stay hot against Kansas City Royals' righty Brad Keller, who shows flashes of greatness but is woefully inconsistent. He's fully capable of limiting the Red Sox to one run over six innings like he did last week, but he's also prone to surrender eight runs to the White Sox, as he did in the start before that.

Andrew Heaney pitches for Los Angeles, bringing a 0.64 ERA through six outings into the contest.

Which Keller will Kansas City get? Can he limit this explosive Los Angeles club?

Before we analyze this Dodgers vs Royals matchup, let's take a peak at the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook:

Dodgers vs Royals Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Dodgers -2.5 (-115)
  • Royals +2.5 (-125)

Moneyline:

  • Dodgers: -250
  • Royals: +225

Total:

  • 9.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Dodgers vs Royals Prediction and Pick

Of the Dodgers' last 26 wins, 24 have come by multiple runs. If they're going to beat you, they're going to beat you.

Kansas City hung tough for six innings last night before Josh Staumont and the bullpen imploded. Today, the Royals won't have the luxury of an actual good starting pitcher, so Los Angeles should put this game away much sooner.

Brad Keller has an expected FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) above 4.17 in four consecutive starts, including a debacle against Tampa Bay in which he posted an 8.97 xFIP. He's struggled against quality lineups, and all of his best performances were against bad offenses.

The Dodgers not only are a good offense, but they happen to be the best offense. Thus, Keller's ugly warts should pop up early and often.

Meanwhile, Andrew Heaney is off to a remarkable start in Los Angeles. That being said, his underlying metrics are merely okay, and the Royals' lineup is hitting well at home.

The huge odds scare me a bit, so I'll target the advantage the Dodgers have over Brad Keller by looking to their team total. WynnBET has their over 5.5 runs scored listed at -115, and that's excellent value for a club that's hit that number in eight of its last 10 games.

Pick: Dodgers Over 5.5 Runs (-115)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.

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