Dodgers vs. Royals Prediction and Odds for Friday, August 12 (Royals With Value Early)
By Joe Summers
It may be time for the Los Angeles Dodgers to raise the difficulty. All of this dominance must get kind of boring after awhile, right?
The Dodgers have 10 straight wins, all by multiple runs, as their lineup is mashing and their pitching staff is cruising. They've won 11 of 12 behind Tony Gonsolin, who threw five shutout innings against the Padres in his last start.
But the Kansas City Royals are playing well, themselves. After taking three of four from both the White Sox and Red Sox, Kansas City is 15-7 in its last 22 home games and won seven of its last eight as home underdogs.
Daniel Lynch has an expected FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) under 3.35 for three consecutive starts. Will he prove a worthy adversary against Los Angeles' All-Star lineup or will Gonsolin pick up another win?
Let's check out the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to find out:
Dodgers vs Royals Odds, Run Line and Total
Run Line:
- Dodgers -2.5 (+100)
- Royals +2.5 (-140)
Moneyline:
- Dodgers: -225
- Royals: +205
Total:
- 9.0 (Over -110/Under -110)
Dodgers vs Royals Prediction and Pick
The Dodgers' lineup is so good it hasn't mattered, but Tony Gonsolin hasn't been impressive lately. He had a 4.40 ERA in July, giving up a home run in each start, and has a 7.20 ERA in his last two road starts.
Over Gonsolin's last 10 starts, he has an expected FIP under 3.55 just twice. In six of those outings, his expected FIP exceeded 4.05. He's been lucky on the season, as his 2.30 ERA doesn't tell the full story.
Kansas City's youth movement is off to an excellent start. MJ Melendez, Nick Pratto, Bobby Witt Jr., Nate Eaton, and Vinnie Pasquantino are all impressing me, and Salvador Perez's return to the lineup gave the entire clubhouse a boost.
There's something to be said for a bunch of players not used to losing every game now taking the reins. That lousy stench of always getting smoked is gone, and I think the Royals will be a valuable team to back through the end of the season.
I'm encouraged by Daniel Lynch's progress as well. In three of his last four starts, he's posted a FIP under 2.37. Kansas City's bullpen still can't be trusted, but I think the Royals can build an early lead. WynnBET has their first five innings moneyline set at +185, a great value given the underlying metrics for both pitchers.
Pick: Royals First Five Innings (+185)
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.