Dolphins vs. Bears Prediction and Odds for NFL Week 9: Miami is Built to be an OVER Bettors Dreams

Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa.
Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. / Rich Storry-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Dolphins have returned to their pre-Tua injury form, and have once again become contenders in the AFC.

Meanwhile, the Chicago Bears came crashing back down to earth on Sunday after dismantling the New England Patriots on the previous Monday. In Week 8, they fell to the Dallas Cowboys by a final score of 49-29.

So how will these two teams fare when they face each other in Week 9?

Let's dive into the latest odds, and then I'll give you my best bet.

Dolphins vs. Bears Odds, Spread, and Total

Dolphins vs. Bears Betting Trends

  • Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last five games
  • Dolphins are 4-1 straight up and ATS in last five games vs. Bears
  • Dolphins are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against NFC North opponents
  • The UNDER is 12-6 in the Dolphins last 18 games

Dolphins vs. Bears Prediction and Pick

I have been betting the OVER in Dolphins games all season, and while it hasn't hit as at high of a rate as I would have expected, I'm going to stay true and keep betting it.

The Dolphins continue to be one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL. They rank third in yards per play, behind only the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs. Even more impressive is that they rank second in the league in yards per pass attempt at 8.4.

Meanwhile, their defense flat out stinks. It ranks 26th in opponent yards per play and 25th in opponent points per play.

The Bears defense has also not been as good as we've come to expect. The Bears rank 21st in opponent yards per play and 18th in opponent yards per pass.

I still firmly believe that games involving the Dolphins should have totals in the high 40's, and until the oddsmakers adjust, I'll continue to bet on points being scores.

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.