Dolphins vs. Bengals Prediction: With Tua Likely Available, Miami Stays Perfect in Cincinnati

Sep 25, 2022; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) attempts a
Sep 25, 2022; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) attempts a / Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports
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The Miami Dolphins are 3-0 right now, knocking off some big boys along the way.

They stormed back against the Baltimore Ravens after being down 21 points in the 4th quarter in Week 2. Then, they took down the consensus Super Bowl favorite Buffalo Bills last Sunday.

Now, they’ll travel to Cincinnati to face the reigning AFC champion Bengals. 

This is a huge game for both teams. The Dolphins can stay undefeated and keep their lead on the Bills in the AFC East division, while the Bengals need to avoid falling to 1-3 to stay firmly in the playoff race. 

Which team comes out on top?

Dolphins vs. Bengals Spread, Odds and Over/Under

Dolphins vs. Bengals Odds, Spread and Total Movement in Week 4

The Bengals have gone from 3-point favorites to 3.5-point favorites.

Dolphins vs. Bengals Best Bet and Prediction 

While home favorites tend to perform better on Thursday Night Football, many may be surprised to see the 3-0 Dolphins as 3.5-point dogs on the road. A key reason is due to the pending status of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, who has upgraded to "limited" this week in practice after dealing with a back injury in Week 3. Many have speculated that he took a shot to the head, but the Dolphins quarterback said it's not something he's dealing with.

If he plays, the Dolphins are in great shape here. Miami’s speed on the outside is ridiculous, and I think that is going to be the difference in the game. Tyreek Hill has already put Eli Apple on notice that he will be ready, and I’m genuinely scared for Apple in this matchup.

Cincinnati can’t protect Joe Burrow at all, and will have trouble keeping him upright. The Bengals got a win against the Jets last week, but their regression is real.

The Dolphins are getting a lot of love, and despite beating the Bills, a win here would truly vault them into AFC contender status. If the Dolphins’ secondary can step up and keep Chase and Higgins from exploding, Miami will definitely be in control of this game. 


You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.