Don't Expect 'Game 6 Klay' in Boston Tonight (Fade This Klay Thompson Prop)

2022 NBA Finals - Game Two
2022 NBA Finals - Game Two / Ezra Shaw/GettyImages

Apparently, all Klay Thompson needs to do to show up in these NBA Finals is watch his own highlights on the internet. 

The solution is easy enough. Yet, actually fixing the problem might be harder against the best defense in the league. WynnBET currently has Thompson’s point total prop at 18.5, with the over at -130 and the under at +100. While we all love Klay Thompson and want to see him do well, don’t expect “Game 6 Klay” to walk through those doors tonight. 

Thompson has struggled mightily through the first two games of this series. He’s scored 26 total points on 10-for-33 shooting from the field and 4-for-15 from three. On top of that, he’s getting beat on defense – which has made his Finals performance memorable for the wrong reasons.

I’m taking the UNDER on Thompson’s props tonight because this is who he’s been all postseason long. In the last two series (I’m not counting Denver because the Nuggets were simply outmatched), Thompson has been a pedestrian player. He’s cleared this line in five of the last 14 games and has only gone above 20 points three times. In that period, he’s shooting 41% from the field and 35% from three. 

‘Game 6 Klay’ is a completely different animal. Since Game 6 of the 2016 WCF – when the alter ego was born – the version of Thompson everyone is waiting for has averaged 28.1 points per game on 49% from the field and 51% from three. That just isn’t happening tonight. 

Steve Kerr lowered the amount of minutes Thompson played in Game 2, which leads me to believe his role in Game 3 might be reduced if he can’t get it together early. Thompson could still play in this series if his defense was up to par, but that has also taken a hit. The Warriors have better options on defense, which means Klay’s role in this series may be limited.

Watching your own highlights might sound like a good idea in a quote, but I don’t believe in the practicality of it heading into Game 3. 

You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.