Dylan Cease is Best Cy Young to Bet Ahead of August

Dylan Cease is on a historic stretch, allowing just three earned runs in his last 11 starts
Dylan Cease is on a historic stretch, allowing just three earned runs in his last 11 starts / Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

If I told you that the American League's most dominant pitcher for most of the season still had +800 odds to win the Cy Young in the consensus market, would you be interested in betting on that pitcher?

I hope so, because Dylan Cease is on a historic stretch that should continue against the lowly Oakland Athletics this afternoon.

With Sandy Alcantara running away with the NL Cy Young award, the AL market is the most intriguing. Shane McClanahan sits as the favorite (+155) with Justin Verlander (+230) trailing closely behind, but Dylan Cease has the best value remaining of any Cy Young candidate.

Dylan Cease Cy Young Value

Cease at +800 is one of the wildest values I can remember. Maybe everyone just needs a reminder how dominant he's been.

Of Cease's 20 starts, here's how many earned runs he's allowed in each outing:

  • 4+ runs: Three times
  • 2 runs: One time
  • 1 run: Six times
  • 0 runs: 10 times

That's ridiculous performance. Cease leads MLB in strikeouts per nine innings (12.52) and ranks second in expected ERA (2.73), so these outings are no fluke.

While Verlander and McClanahan are having incredible seasons, Cease is right there with them. Coming into today, he's gone three straight starts without allowing a single run. Somehow, this guy was an All-Star snub.

If Cease continues his historic pace, voters will have no choice but to recognize him. When you're in Pedro's company, you'll get Cy Young votes.

At the very least, Cease is having a better season than Verlander, who lags well behind in advanced metrics. Given Chicago's easy division and relatively light schedule moving forward, Cease will face poor lineups that allow him to showcase his unparalleled ability.

Head on over to WynnBET before it's too late, those +800 odds won't last long.

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.