Eagles vs. Commanders Prediction: Expect Offensive Regression From NFC East Opponents

Jan 2, 2022; Landover, Maryland, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) prepares to
Jan 2, 2022; Landover, Maryland, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) prepares to / Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Week 3 of the NFL will feature two matchups between NFC East opponents. The first of which will be a showdown between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Washington Commanders.

The Eagles are coming off a huge win over the Minnesota Vikings on Monday Night Football, and are now one of the top favorites to win the NFC. FanDuel Sportsbook has Philadelphia's odds set as the second shortest to win the conference, tied with the Green Bay Packers at +500.

Let's take a look at the latest odds for this divisional battle, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

Eagles vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, and Total

Eagles vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, and Total Movement

The Eagles opened as 3.5-point favorites when the lines were first released on Sunday night. After Philadelphia's big win on Monday, the line has moved three whole points, up to Eagles -6.5. Meanwhile, the total has moved down from 50.5 to 47.5.

Eagles vs. Commanders Best Bet and Prediction

The Eagles looked like world beaters on Monday night, but instead of the spread, I'm going to look at the total instead. I think we'll see both offenses take a step back on Sunday, while their defenses take a step forward.

We already saw the Eagles defense improve after a tough Week 1 against the Lions. They held the Vikings to just 4.5 yards per play. If they can mimic that success against the Commanders offense, the under is in a good spot.

Washington's offense has been fantastic both against the Jaguars and the Lions, but those are likely going to end up being two of the worst defenses in the NFL by the end of the year. This will be by far the toughest defense they have faced through the first three weeks.

As much as I like Jalen Hurts, I can't see him having the same level of success through the air as he did on Monday night. Philadelphia has the fourth highest rush-play percentage in the NFL, so if they continue to keep it on the ground against Washington, the clock will keep moving.

The under is 20-11-1 through the first two weeks of the season, and I think it hits again in the NFC East rivalry games.

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.