Elena Rybakina vs. Ons Jabeur Wimbledon Finals Prediction and Pick (Value on Total)

Jul 7, 2022; London, England, United Kingdom;  
Ons Jabeur (TUN) returns a shot during  her semi
Jul 7, 2022; London, England, United Kingdom; Ons Jabeur (TUN) returns a shot during her semi / Peter van den Berg-USA TODAY Sports
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We have reached the Finals of Wimbledon with two upstarts hoping to grab their first Grand Slam title.

Ons Jabeur has risen to No. 2 in the World and is in as good as form as anyone, but looked shaky in a three set match in the semifinals. She is the favorite over Elena Rybakina, who disposed of Simona Halep in straight sets to reach the Finals.

Who has the edge? Where is the betting value? Let's first look at the odds for the Wimbledon Finals from consensus sportsbooks:

Elena Rybakina vs. Ons Jabeur Odds, Spread, Total

Spread:

  • Rybakina: +1.5 (+100)
  • Jabeur: -1.5 (-125)

Moneyline:

  • Rybakina: +120
  • Jabeur: -145

Total: 22.5 (Over +100/Under -125)

Elena Rybakina vs. Ons Jabeur Prediction and Pick

I was bullish on Rybakina's chances to crash the Halep-Jabeur Finals on Tuesday's Daily Betslip, but the value has evaporated after she destroyed Halep in straight sets 6-3, 6-3.

Jabeur is the more proven player on grass, but Rybakina has navigated this tournament very well while the Tunisian star has looked vulnerable at times, dropping a set in each of her past two matches.

This is the third meeting between the two, first on grass. Jabeur got the nod via retirement most recently last year, while they split the other team in three sets each time.

I think we see something similar on Saturday. Neither player has won a Grand Slam before and there can be some nerves throughout, and I think we are in for another lengthy match here. We have seen these two compete in long matches against one another in the past, and with not much value on the moneyline, I'll look to the over as my favorite bet.

LEAN: OVER 22.5 Games


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