Every Bettor Should Know This Wild Bucks Betting Trend Before Game 4 vs. Celtics
By Ben Heisler
During the 2021-22 NBA regular season, the Milwaukee Bucks finished with an over/under record of 43-39.
So far through eight games of the postseason, the Bucks have yet to go over the projected game total.
Via Odds Shark analyst Joe Osborne, not only have the Bucks gone a perfect 8-0 in postseason unders, he points out the combined score in those games is barely over 200 points!
The Bucks have gone under in all 8 of their playoff games so far. These games have seen an average combined score of just 201.75.
— Joe Osborne (@JTFOz) May 9, 2022
Tonight's total vs the Celtics is at 212.
Milwaukee owns the best defensive rating in the postseason so far and it's not particularly close. During the playoffs, per 100 possessions, the Bucks give up only 97.1 points. The second-best team after Milwaukee? The Miami Heat, who own a defensive rating of 106.7.
Despite the Bucks' 2-1 lead entering Game 4, they've relied heavily on their defensive prowess throughout the series. Milwaukee ranks 15th out of the original 16 playoff teams, and dead last amongst active postseason teams in offensive rating (104.2). For context, the Bucks were third in the NBA in offensive rating (114.3) during the regular season.
The Celtics' finished the NBA's regular season with the league's best defensive rating, and rank third in the postseason at 107.2.
Will the Total Go Over or Under in Celtics vs. Bucks Game 4?
While WynnBET Sportsbook has the current over/under for Game 4 at 211.5, consensus odds actually opened closer to 209/209.5, with movement on the over by 2-2.5 points.
With one day off, Bucks' overs have gone 29-26-0 this year, both in the regular season as well as the postseason. Meanwhile, the Celtics have a 13-10-1 record in overs as an underdog this season.
BetSided's Peter Dewey expects Boston to even up the series as a 1-point underdog on the road, expecting a bounce back from Celtics forward Jayson Tatum. The Celtics' leading scorer went 0-for-10 in Game 3 when guarded by Wesley Matthews.
While playoff basketball is an entirely different animal compared to the regular season, I expect both teams' offenses, especially Milwaukee's to eventually get back on track closer to how they finished during an 82-game sample. Both teams finished top three (Bucks) and top nine (Celtics) in offensive rating this season, and if shots start to fall, we could see this low total clear fairly easily.
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