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Every NFL Team's Implied Probability to Win the Division in 2022 (AFC North Will Be Tight Race)

By Peter Dewey

Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson.
Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson. / Joe Sargent/GettyImages
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NFL fans and bettors everywhere can scour the latest division odds at WynnBET Sportsbook to see who is underrated and overrated ahead of the 2022 season. 

To make it even easier to understand how oddsmakers view each division, I have turned each NFL team’s odds to win the division into the implied probability that the team does complete the feat. 

This can help bettors find a team that may be undervalued in the odds, but they actually think has a better chance to win a division title. Almost every year in the NFL, we see a team go from worst to first (the Cincinnati Bengals last season), so there could be value on a team with less than a 10 percent chance to win the division. 

Here are the odds and implied probability for every team: 

AFC East Division Odds (Implied Probability of Winning Division)

  • Buffalo Bills: -230 – (69.7%)
  • New England Patriots: +425 – (19.05%)
  • Miami Dolphins: +475 – (17.39%)
  • New York Jets: +2000 – (4.76%)

AFC North Division Odds (Implied Probability of Winning Division)

  • Cleveland Browns: +250 – (28.57%)
  • Cincinnati Bengals: +170 – (37.04%)
  • Baltimore Ravens: +170 – (37.04%)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers: +1000 – (9.09%)

AFC South Division Odds (Implied Probability of Winning Division)

  • Indianapolis Colts: -125 – (55.56%)
  • Tennessee Titans: +150 – (40.0%)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: +700 – (12.50%)
  • Houston Texans: +2500 – (3.85%)

AFC West Division Odds (Implied Probability of Winning Division)

  • Kansas City Chiefs: +150 – (40.0%)
  • Los Angeles Chargers: +225 – (30.77%)
  • Denver Broncos: +275 – (26.67%)
  • Las Vegas Raiders: +600 – (14.29%)

NFC East Division Odds (Implied Probability of Winning Division)

  • Dallas Cowboys: -110 – (52.38%)
  • Philadelphia Eagles: +200 – (33.33%)
  • Washington Commanders: +550 – (15.38%) 
  • New York Giants: +900 – (10.0%)

NFC North Division Odds (Implied Probability of Winning Division)

  • Green Bay Packers: -185 – (64.91%)
  • Minnesota Vikings: +250 – (28.57%)
  • Chicago Bears: +1000 – (9.09%)
  • Detroit Lions: +1000 – (9.09%)

NFC South Division Odds (Implied Probability of Winning Division)

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -300 – (75.0%)
  • New Orleans Saints: +350 – (22.22%)
  • Carolina Panthers: +1250 – (7.41%)
  • Atlanta Falcons: +1500 – (6.25%)

NFC West Division Odds (Implied Probability of Winning Division)

  • Los Angeles Rams: +125 – (44.44%)
  • San Francisco 49ers: +175 – (36.36%)
  • Arizona Cardinals: +325 – (23.53%)
  • Seattle Seahawks: +1400 – (6.67%)

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.

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