Fade These 3 NFL Teams’ Win Totals in 2022 Season

The whirlwind that has been the 2022 NFL offseason is all but over as most teams have set their rosters from free-agent acquisition and via the NFL Draft. Now it’s time to re-evaluate each team’s chances to go over or under their respective win totals. For this piece, I wanted to highlight a few teams that I think fit the mold as good teams to fade in the upcoming 2022 NFL season. All odds used were provided by WynnBET Sportsbook. 

Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 10.5 Wins (+100)

This could be the beginning of the end for the Chiefs’ dominance in the AFC West. I think the tipping point was the departure of Tyreek Hill after the Chiefs traded him to Miami during the offseason.  

The Chiefs had a slow start to last season but turned on the afterburners to eventually take the division. I see a similar start in the Chiefs' future but without Hill, I think they lack the juice to rebound again from a bad beginning. 

Kansas City has a very difficult schedule ahead of them and some projections have them with the hardest opponents in the entire league. To open the season the Chiefs will be up against the Cardinals, Chargers, Colts, Bucs, Raiders, Bills, and 49ers before their bye week. Those are all playoff-caliber teams and KC will not have an easy game out of the bunch. 

Atlanta Falcons UNDER 4.5 Wins (+105)

The Atlanta Falcons finished the 2021 season at 7-10 and will look to improve upon that mark in 2022. However, I think that outcome is way far out of the realm of possibility. The books seem to agree as they’ve set the Falcons’ total at just 4.5 wins for the upcoming season. And while that figure is painfully low, I think the Falcons will really struggle to get to five wins this year. 

Atlanta will start the season with somebody not named Matt Ryan under center for the first time since 2008 for starters. And while it was time to move on from the 37-year-old, Marcus Mariota is not a long-term answer. He’s here to fill a spot this year while the Falcons figure out how to compete in 2023. The Falcons did well in the NFL Draft after picking up Drake London, but he is just a piece to a very incomplete puzzle. Just look over their schedule and find five good matchups for this team. 

Chicago Bears UNDER 6.5 Wins (+110)

Much like the Falcons, the Bears are not in “win now” mode after losing their best players on each side of the ball, Khalil Mack and Allen Robinson II. The plan is to build around Justin Fields, but that is a sketchy long-term play at best. He finished 31st in passing yards, touchdowns, and QBR last year and this team only got worse. Their offense line is borderline bad and Fields will be left to figure things out without much help. To make matters worse, Fields will have to adjust to having his second head coach in his sophomore season. This is a team on its way downhill and I don’t see them winning seven games in 2022.

Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE.