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Falcons vs. Panthers Prediction and Odds for NFL Week 10 (Atlanta Soars in Thursday Night Football Rematch)

By Iain MacMillan

Oct 30, 2022; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts (8) runs with the ball
Oct 30, 2022; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts (8) runs with the ball / Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
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The Atlanta Falcons and Carolina Panthers just faced off less than two weeks ago, in what some described as the "best worst game" played in recent history.

Neither team could get out of their own way, as the Falcons had a comfortable lead in the dying seconds but then gave up a huge touchdown catch from P.J. Walker to D.J. Moore. The Panthers kicker, Eddy Pineiro, then missed the extra point following a penalty which caused the game to go to overtime. He then missed another field goal in overtime and the Falcons eventually won by a final score of 37-34

Now, the two teams will face-off in a rematch on Thursday Night Football. The game will serve as the only primetime game for both teams this season.

Let's dive into the latest odds for this NFC South showdown.

Falcons vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, and Total

Falcons vs. Panthers Betting Trends

  • Falcons are 5-1 ATS in last six games in Carolina
  • Falcons are 5-1 ATS in alst six games against NFC opponents
  • Falcons are 10-4 ATS in last 14 games against Panthers
  • Panthers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games
  • Panthers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games
  • The UNDER is 13-6 in last 19 meetings between these teams

Falcons vs. Panthers Prediction and Pick

The Panthers showed their true colors against the Bengals in Week 9, and I have no interest in betting on whoever starts at quarterback for them. It could be P.J. Walker, Sam Darnold, or Baker Mayfield, and no matter who it is, I'll still take the Falcons as small favorites.

A big issue with this Panthers offense, which costs them game after game, is their third down conversion rate. They rank dead last in the NFL in this stat, converting only 26.67% of their third down opportunities. The Falcons, on the other hand, have been fantastic, succeeding 45% on their third down chances; sixth-best mark in the league.

Carolina's defense has had trouble stopping the run in recent games. Over each team's last three contests, the Panthers rank 24th in opponent yards per carry, allowing an average of 4.9 yards per rush. That's bad news against the Falcons, who rank 12th in the NFL in yards per carry at 4.8.

I'll back the Dirty Birds to complete the season sweep against the Panthers.

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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