Final Four Betting Trends and History (Insights and Analysis for Duke, North Carolina, Kansas, Villanova)

Mar 26, 2022; San Francisco, CA, USA; Duke Blue Devils head coach Mike Krzyzewski gestures against
Mar 26, 2022; San Francisco, CA, USA; Duke Blue Devils head coach Mike Krzyzewski gestures against / Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

The 2022 men's Final Four is upon us with four historical programs battling it out for who will cut down the nets next Monday, April 4th.

Duke faces off against arch rival North Carolina in the Final Four while Villanova and Kansas meet four years after the Wildcats beat the Jayhawks in the 2018 national semifinals.

You can check out the Duke vs. UNC preview here and our Kansas vs. Villanova betting guide here, but let's take a historical analysis for the past 20 Final Four's and see if there's any betting trends that notably stick out.

Final Four Against the Spread History

Overall, there has been some little merit blindly betting favorites or underdogs. Since 2005, favorites have gone who have gone 16-15-1 against the spread (ATS).

Over at WynnBET Sportsbook, North Carolina and Villanova are each 4.5-point underdogs as of this writing.

Since 2005, the four involved teams have been very strong ATS, showing up when it counted.

  • Duke: 2-0
  • Kansas: 2-1
  • Villanova: 2-1
  • North Carolina: 3-2

Duke won both Final Four games outright, but has enjoyed the smallest success since 2005. The Blue Devils opponent, North Carolina, has been to the most Final 4's of the bunch, and has gone 3-2 ATS in those games, but has won four of them outright.

In the other matchup Villanova has won their past two Final Four meetings in 2016 and 2018, the more recent being over Bill Self's Kansas Jayhawks. Rock Chalk has also won two of their three Final Four matchups.

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