Florida State vs Florida Prediction and Odds: Back Seminoles to Win Sunshine Showdown

Florida State travels to Gainesville for a matchup against in-state rival Florida on Sunday afternoon.

Both teams got off to a 1-0 start earlier this week against inferior competition and will use this game as a measuring stick to see where they stand as NCAA Tournament contenders.

How should we bet this early season showdown? First, let's check out the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook.

Florida State vs. Florida Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

• Florida State: -1 (-115)
• Florida: +1 (-105)

Moneyline:

• Florida State: -120
• Florida: +100

Total: 145 (Over -105/Under -115)

Florida State vs. Florida Pick and Prediction

Florida State has dominated this matchup in recent history, winners of the last seven against UF, including by double digits over the past four.

That's not necessarily predictive of how this game will go, but Florida could be in for a tough afternoon against the Seminoles, a team with the largest average height in KenPom's database. FSU's length can disrupt what the Gators want to do on offense and force them into isolation situations.

The Gators have transfer guard Myeron Jones and veteran Tyrese Appleby typically handling the ball. Each will be at a height disadvantage against pesky defenders like Caleb Mills and Anthony Polite.

I don't trust the Gators to win those one-on-one battles over the course of 40 minutes and big man Colin Castleton will also struggle against the the FSU interior. The Noles typically live with teams shooting from three, mainly because their length is so disruptive that it makes scoring from in close as tough as any team in the country. For reference, the team had the 12th best two-point defense last season, and I don't trust the Gators perimeter shooting to hold up.

I lean with Hamilton's Seminoles to take care of business and get another win over their local foe. If Florida is unable to turn the visitors over and beat their man off the dribble, I see the offensive firepower of FSU winning out in a game being lined as a near coin flip.

PICK: Florida State ML -120

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