No. 1 Georgia returns from their bye week to face a rival on a neutral field, should we expect business as usual?
The World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party is back when Georgia and Florida meet in Jacksonville for their yearly battle. Things haven't gone as great for Billy Napier in his first season as head coach of Florida, but the team has thrived as an underdog, can they show up against the reigning National Champions?
Here are the odds for Georgia vs. Florida on Saturday night:
Florida vs. Georgia Odds, Spread and Total
Florida vs. Georgia Betting Trends
- Florida is 2-0 against the spread (ATS) as an underdog
- Billy Napier-led teams are 14-3-1 ATS as an underdog in his career
- Georgia has gone UNDER in six of seven games
Florida vs. Georgia Prediction and Pick
According to Marc Lawrence of Playbook Sports, this is the biggest spread Georgia is laying against the Gators in more than 40 years.
Florida has thrived as an underdog this season, and while I think there is some merit to taking the points with the Gators, I'm not sure I can trust this defense enough. Napier's group is outside the top 100 nationally in terms of success rate and EPA/Play and can struggle against a Georgia team that will surely win on the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball.
It's worth noting that Georgia has Tennessee on deck and Kirby Smart may pull his starters early, but I think the over is the way to go here.
In the two games as an underdog, Anthony Richardson ran wild in both games, making up for a poor Gators defense. He drew Heisman Trophy buzz in the Week 1 win at home against Utah, going over the total in the process, and kept the Gators within one score late with some explosive plays against Tennessee on the road.
Both games as underdogs, Richardson has done his part to go over (and cover) the spread. I'm looking at the dog and the over again here.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.