NCAAF Picks

Florida vs. Tennessee Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 4

Josh Yourish
Florida Gators quarterback Anthony Richardson (15)
Florida Gators quarterback Anthony Richardson (15) / Matt Pendleton / USA TODAY NETWORK
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The Florida Gators survived the trap game of all trap games last week as they barely beat USF sandwiched between games against Kentucky and Tennessee. The Tennessee Volunteers rolled against Akron 63-6 and look like they could be a real threat in the SEC at 3-0. 

Can the Gators pull off the upset in Rocky Top or will the Vols roll in Week 4?

Florida vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread and Total

Tennessee and Florida Betting Trends

  • Tennessee is 3-0 ATS this year
  • Florida is 1-2 ATS this year

Florida vs. Tennessee Prediction and Pick

So, what has Tennessee done to be ranked 11th in the country? It killed Ball State and Akron and barely beat Pitt in overtime when Pitt had to play an injured backup QB. What about that says 10.5-point favorite against Florida who beat a really good Utah team and played Kentucky tough?

Anthony Richardson may not be the next coming of Cam Newton like we thought after Week 1, but he is a good dynamic quarterback who can absolutely go score for score with Hendon Hooker and Tennessee. Florida has played a really tough schedule so far and Tennessee has mostly had cupcakes. I don’t even know that Pitt is a great win. 

Florida’s defense is ranked 76th in the country, just one spot behind Pitt, and the Gators' offense is ranked 96th. Tennessee’s offense is seventh in the country, but a 60-spot on Akron is the only reason. I think this is one of those early season games where we don’t know as much as we think we do about a team like Tennessee and a battle tested Florida can come in and win outright.

I have my finger on the pulse of Florida, I picked them to beat Utah outright and to lose to Kentucky at home. This is the type of game that a first year coach like Billy Napier will be able to get his guys up for and Florida +10.5 sounds great to me. 

Pick: Florida +10.5 (-110)


Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

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