Fresno State vs. Boise State Prediction and Odds: Sell High on Broncos
By Reed Wallach
Fresno State heads to Boise, Idaho to face Boise State in each team's Mountain West opener on Tuesday night.
The Broncos erased a 3-4 start to the season by ripping off six straight wins, including a win last Wednesday against Washington State.
They now play host to Fresno Sate, who has a dominant big man in 7-footer Orlando Robinson.
Can the Bulldogs hang on the road, or will the Broncos continue on their hot streak?
Here are the latest odds from WynnBET Sportsbook.
Fresno State vs. Boise State Odds, Spread and Total
Spread:
- Fresno State: +4.5 (-110)
- Boise State: -4.5 (-110)
Moneyline:
- Fresno State: +165
- Boise State: -200
Total:
- 119 (Over -110/Under -110)
Fresno State vs. Boise State Prediction and Pick
I have this number right around Boise -4.5, but I do believe this spot sets up nicely to sell high on Boise State, who still has issues on the offensive side of the ball.
The Broncos are sloppy with the ball, turning it over on nearly 20% of their possessions and shoot 60% from the free throw line as a team, bottom 10 in the country. This can spell trouble against Fresno State's stout defense that is top 50 in the country per KenPom that turns the opponent over at a top 60 clip.
Neither team can really shoot from the perimeter, both check in at around 31% but both love to bang down low and generate points from in close.
Robinson is the key for Fresno, the big man is used on more than 31% of the team's possessions and he also is posting a 7% block percentage. If he is able to win the mathcup against Boise State big Mladen Armus, that can open up the floor for the team's guards to slash into the paint.
This game has a rock fight written all over it, as indicated in the total, but I believe Robinson can generate enough offense to help carry a Fresno State spread ticket to the window. Getting over two possessions against a team that can't hit three's or free throws either.
Fresno played at Boise twice last season, losing the first by 22, but winning the regular season finale by 3. I think we see something like the latter on Tuesday night.
PICK: Fresno State +4.5