Fresno State vs Costal Carolina Updated Prediction and Odds for The Basketball Classic Finals

Mar 3, 2022; San Diego, California, USA; Fresno State Bulldogs forward Orlando Robinson (10)
Mar 3, 2022; San Diego, California, USA; Fresno State Bulldogs forward Orlando Robinson (10) / Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports
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While the Final Four is on Saturday, there is still some college basketball postseason action to sort out.

Fresno State travels to face Coastal Carolina in The Basketball Classic Finals on Friday evening with the Bulldogs laying as small road favorites.

Let's break down the odds and find a best bet for the final non-NCAA Tournament matchup of the season.

Fresno State vs. Coastal Carolina Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Fresno State: -3 (-110)
  • Coastal Carolina: +3 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Fresno State: -155
  • Coastal Carolina: +127

Total: 127 (Over -110/Under -110)

Fresno State vs. Coastal Carolina Prediction and Picks

This is a true road game for the Bulldogs, who have had this game moved to Friday afternoon due to travel issues, but I'm not fazed.

Fresno State is the far superior team here with future NBA big man Orlando Robinson. While the Coastal Carolina defense is built to keep teams out of the paint, allowing the fifth furthest shot profile according to Haslemetrics, the Fresno offense is top 40 in mid-range field goal percentage and have the best player on the floor in Robinson. There are avenues to success for this team despite Coastal's defensive structure.

On the other side, the Chanticleers transition based offense is going to struggle against Fresno State's elite defense that is top 50 in adjusted defensive efficiency this season. Not to mention, the Mountain West club is top 15 nationally in defensive rebounding percentage, which means CCU is likely going one-and-done on offense and will play on Fresno's third slowest adjusted tempo.

If this game becomes a grind, give me the Bulldogs to win this Tournament by executing in the half court even on the road. I don't trust the Chanticleers offense to generate enough offense in the half court to beat Fresno out in a half court style game.

LEAN: Fresno State -150

You can find all of Reed's bets HERE!