Fresno State vs. Nevada Prediction, Odds, Spread, and Over/Under for College Football Week 8

The Nevada Wolf Pack and Fresno State Bulldogs square off this week at Bulldog Stadium for some Mountain West Conference action. 

The Wolf Pack are riding a three-game win streak and currently lead the Mountain West West division along with San Diego State. The team is coming off a big win against Hawaii at home 34-14 on the back of Carson Strong. Strong threw for 395 yards and two touchdowns with zero interceptions. It was an impressive showing as a 14-point favorite and the second time the Wolf Pack has covered in the last three weeks. 

Fresno State is also coming off an impressive win, shutting out Wyoming 17-0 as a three-point favorite. It was their first ATS win in three weeks after starting the season 4-0 ATS. 

Here are the odds for this Mountain West showdown, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Fresno State vs. Nevada Spread and Over/Under

Spread:

• Nevada: +3.0 (-110)

• Fresno State: -3.0 (+110)

Moneyline:

• Nevada: +145

• Fresno State: -165

Total:

• 64.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Fresno State vs. Nevada Betting Trends

• Nevada is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games. 
• The OVER is 4-1 in Nevada’s last 5 games. 
• Nevada is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at Fresno State. 
• Fresno State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 home games. 
• Fresno State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Mountain West opponents. 

Fresno State vs. Nevada Prediction and Pick

If Nevada has one massive advantage in this game it would be their passing attack. Led by Strong, Nevada ranks sixth in the nation in passing yards per game (347.8) . As an individual, Strong ranks in the top 10 in completions, attempts, total yards and touchdown passes. This does leave the Wolf Pack with a rather one-dimensional offense as they rush the ball just 37% of the time. 

While this sounds like trouble for Fresno State, there is a silver lining. The secondary for the Bulldogs has been phenomenal at keeping the ball out of the hands of opposing receivers. So good, in fact, that they rank first in the nation with a 47% opponent completion rate. Fresno State also ranks in the top 30 in opponent yards per pass, opponent yards per game, and sack percentage. I think this stat is very interesting considering the game has such a high total of 64.5.

I think that Strong has a real test in front of him in this game to get the ball to his receivers with such a successful secondary in his way. While the Bulldogs will only serve to slow Strong down, I think it will be enough to cash the under in this game. 

Prediction: Fresno State vs. Nevada UNDER 64.5 points