George Mason vs. Richmond Prediction and Odds (Bet the Road Underdog)
By Reed Wallach
A pair of Atlantic 10 contenders meet in Richmond, Virginia when George Mason travels to Richmond.
The Spiders scored a big win on Friday night by knocking off the defending champions St. Bonaventure and will look to build some momentum into the home stretch of conference play. Meanwhile, the Patriots have been frisky as underdogs this season and will look to notch another road upset this season.
Here are the odds for Monday's A-10 showdown from WynnBET Sportsbook.
George Mason vs. Richmond Odds, Spread and Total
Spread:
- George Mason: +7.5 (-110)
- Richmond: -7.5 (-110)
Moneyline:
- George Mason: +270
- Richmond: -340
Total: 138.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
George Mason vs. Richmond Prediction and Pick
Richmond showed its potential in the victory over St. Bonaventure, shooting 40% from 3, but I believe the Patriots present a more complete offense that can keep pace with the Spiders.
Since Jan. 1, GMU is posting the 14th best effective field goal percentage in the country and the team has multiple paths to scoring both from the perimeter (53rd in 3P%) and at the rim (60th in near proximity field goal percentage per Haslemetrics). Richmond has a soft interior defense that is 247th at defending the rim and the likes of Josh Oduro can dominate down low.
Speaking of Oduro, his status for this one looms large as the team's best interior player on both ends. He missed Saturday's loss to La Salle with a concussion, but I believe that this number is preparing for him being out. If he's out, I still believe Kim English's offense can shred a middling Richmond defense. If he's in, this line will drop.
George Mason has gone 6-1 against the spread (ATS) as an underdog this season, knocking off Big Ten foe Maryland and keeping pace with Kansas on the road, and I see this game as an overreaction to Richmond's win over St. Bonaventure, who I believe is overrated to begin with.
While the Spiders are due for some positive regression from 3, the Friday night game is more indicative of their perimeter shooting that is below 30% in A-10 play, I believe George Mason's dynamic offense can keep this game close into the final minutes. This is too many points to lay with Richmond, even if I'm forecasting better shooting in the next few weeks.
PICK: George Mason +7.5, play to +6.5
All of Reed's college basketball plays can be tracked here, his best bets column for college basketball is 49-43-3 for +4.3 units.