Georgia vs. Alabama Prediction, Odds, Against Spread and Over/Under for SEC Championship Game

Conference championship games don’t get much better than the Southeastern Conference, as the No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs face No. 3 Alabama Crimson Tide. The last time these two met up for the SEC crown was in 2018 when the Crimson Tide won 35-28 before losing to Clemson in the College Football Playoff. 

This season is very similar, at least in terms of what is at stake for Alabama. A win gets you in. A loss puts you out. Georgia could lose this game but still make it to the CFP with an 11-1 record; but it really depends on how they lose. 

Before we get ahead of ourselves here, let's take a look at the current odds for the SEC Championship game, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook. 

Georgia vs. Alabama Spread and Over/Under

Spread:

• Georgia: -6.5 (-110) 
• Alabama: +6.5  (-110)

Moneyline:

• Georgia: -240
• Alabama: +200

Total:

• 50.0 (Over -110/Under -110)

Georgia vs. Alabama Betting Trends

• The Bulldogs are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games. 
• The UNDER is 6-2 in the Bulldogs' last eight games. 
• The Bulldogs are 0-6 straight up (SU) in their last six games against the Crimson Tide.
• The UNDER is 4-2 in the Bulldogs' last six games against the West Division. 
• The Crimson Tide is 6-0 SU in their last six games. 
• The OVER is 5-2 in the Crimson Tide’s last seven games against the East Division. 

Georgia vs. Alabama Prediction and Pick

Georgia enters this title game as the consensus number one team in the nation, and would love to hold onto the final top spot heading into the offseason. The Crimson Tide opened the season No. 1 but eventually ceded the top position away The winner of this game will more than likely be the favorite to win the CFP.

Alabama has one of the best offenses in the nation and ranks in the Top-5 in points per game (42.2), yards per game (497.4), and leads the country in third-down conversions with a 55.49 percent success rate. 

The Bulldogs’ offense doesn’t lag far behind. Georgia ranks second in points per play, third in yards per play, and eighth in points per game at 39.3. However, the Bulldogs have something the Crimson Tide does not; the best defense in college football. 

Georgia ranks No. 1 in points allowed per game (6.9), yards per game (240.5), points per play (0.105), yards per play (3.7), and red zone scoring (55%). Just take a look over those numbers again real quick. 6.9 points per game average over 12 games? That's incredibly impressive no matter which way you slice it. 

The only knock against these numbers for some is the lack of elite offenses on their schedule. Georgia has only seen one Top-25 offense this season when they beat Tennesee. They did hold them to 17.0 after averaging 38.3 on the season. But this argument is valid. 

Bryce Young might not have had his best game last time out but it’s not an accident he currently sits atop the odds board for the Heisman Trophy. 

This is where things get murky because the Bulldogs haven’t played a QB or offense nearly this good all season. They certainly won't be holding them to 6.9 points in this game. While I believe this is Georgia’s year and they will win this game, it will be a nail-biter. It’s not often we get the chance to take the No. 3 ranked team in the nation as 6.5 point underdogs. 

Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide +6.5 (-110)