Giants vs. Dolphins Prediction, Odds, Against Spread and Over/Under for NFL Week 13

New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones (8) looks to throw in the first half. The Giants defeat the
New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones (8) looks to throw in the first half. The Giants defeat the / Danielle Parhizkaran/NorthJersey.com /
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The New York Giants upset the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday, 13-7, and now turn their attention against the surging Miami Dolphins, who have four three straight.

Both teams have faint hopes of a playoff berth, and a loss here could be the end of their postseason chances, so let's see where the edge lies.

Odds courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

New York Giants vs. Miami Dolphins Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Giants +3 (-115)
  • Dolphins -3 (-105)

Moneyline:

  • Giants +130
  • Dolphins -150

Total: 42 (Over -110/Under -110)

Miami Dolphins vs. New York Giants Betting Trends

  • The Giants are 6-5 ATS as underdogs this season
  • The Giants are 3-8 to the OVER this season
  • The Dolphins are 3-1 to the UNDER as favorites this season

New York Giants vs. Miami Dolphins Prediction and Pick

While the Dolphins come in hot, I'm going to side with the Giants catching points in this one.

The Dolphins were home underdogs to the Panthers last week, and now find themselves laying a field goal to a Giants team that also beat this Panthers team earlier in the season (as small home underdogs too). The math on this matchup just doesn't check out. I make this game closer to a pick 'em and believe that the market is giving a bit too much credit for a turnover driven Miami win last week against Carolina.

Over the last four weeks, the Dolphins have the second best defense in EPA/Play, which sounds incredible, but when you look at their schedule, it's overrated. The team shut down the Texans, Jets, Panthers, and Ravens on a short week. The Giants aren't world beaters, but this Miami defense is playing over their head.

As for the Giants defense, they have posted the 11th best mark against elite offenses such as the Chiefs, Raiders, Buccaneers and Eagles.

In a game with a low total of 42, I'll take the underdog that has been facing a much more difficult schedule.

PICK: Giants +3

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