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Giants vs. Cowboys Prediction and Odds for NFL Week 12 (Dallas Dominates New York on Thanksgiving Day)

By Iain MacMillan

Sep 26, 2022; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Dallas Cowboys wide receiver CeeDee Lamb (88) runs
Sep 26, 2022; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Dallas Cowboys wide receiver CeeDee Lamb (88) runs / Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
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A classic NFC East will be showcased in the second of three games taking place on Thanksgiving when the New York Giants head to Texas to take on the Dallas Cowboys.

The Cowboys had the most impressive performance in the NFL in Week 11, destroying the Minnesota Vikings by a final score of 40-3. Meanwhile, the Giants come off an embarrassing loss to the Detroit Lions that saw them score only 18 points against the league's worst defense.

Let's dive into the odds for this Thanksgiving Day matchup, and then I'll give you my best bet for the game.

Giants vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, and Total

Giants vs. Cowboys Betting Trends

  • Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games
  • Cowboys are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against Giants
  • Giants are 3-7 ATS in last 10 games against NFC opponents
  • Giants are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against NFC East opponents
  • Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games
  • The OVER is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these teams
  • Cowboys are 8-1 ATS in last nine games against NFC East opponents

Giants vs. Cowboys Prediction and Pick

It felt like Sunday's game against the Lions was the first time this season that we saw the Giants' true colors.

The Giants rank 29th in the NFL in net yards per play at -0.7. Their 7-3 record has not been a true indication of how good this team actually is. Meanwhile, the Cowboys, who are also 7-3, rank fifth in the NFL in net yards per play at +0.7.

That difference justifies a bet on the Cowboys to cover this big Thanksgiving Day spread.

The Cowboys' offense has been on fire as of late, averaging 6.4 yards per play over their last three games, the third highest mark in the NFL over that stretch. They've also had the best third down conversion rate in that span, converting 60.47% of their third downs. That means they're well set up to counter the Giants' biggest strength, which is their third down defense.

The Cowboys beat the Giants 23-16 back in September, and don't forget that Cooper Rush was their quarterback for that game. With Rush, they outgained the Giants 6.4 yards per play to 5.0.

Dallas will win big on Thanksgiving.

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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