Giants vs. Jaguars Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for NFL Week 7 (Don't Fall for the Trap with New York)

New York Giants running back Saquon Barkley (26)
New York Giants running back Saquon Barkley (26) / Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Giants are 5-1, but they're not good enough to be favorites on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 7?

Apparently not, because the oddsmakers have the upstart Giants currently as a 3-point dog right now despite beating the Baltimore Ravens 24-20.

Brian Daboll looks like the best head coach from this year’s hiring cycle, but maybe Doug Pederson can build on his 8-2 record against the Giants from his time in Philadelphia. 

Here are the latest odds for this NFC/AFC matchup in Duval.

Giants vs. Jaguars Odds Spread and Total

Jacksonville and New York Betting Trends

  • New York’s games are 4-2 to the under
  • New York is 5-1 ATS
  • Jacksonville’s games are 4-2 to the over
  • Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS

Giants vs. Jaguars Prediction and Pick

The Giants are one of the worst 5-1 teams I’ve ever seen purely based on their roster and their quarterback.

Their leading receivers in Week 6 were Daniel Bellinger and Wan’Dale Robinson and still found a way to beat Lamar Jackson. They are so well-coached and part of their success seems to be how Brian Daboll has adapted from his time in Buffalo. I figured he would bring his air-raid type system over from his time with Josh Allen, but he recognized that Daniel Jones is not that type of quarterback. As a result, they've relied on their running game with Saquon Barkley looking amazing, and maximizing their talents on the roster. 

However, that only goes so far, and I think Jacksonville has the more talented team. The Jaguars have been really bad away from home, but they're back in Duval county this week. Granted they did lose to Houston at home, but I just trust Trevor Lawrence much more in Jacksonville. 

Last week, Baltimore outgained New York 406 to 238, and the Ravens rushed for 211 yards. That kind of rushing attack is something the Jaguars have shown an ability to do with both Travis Etienne and James Robinson. This game will also move fast because both teams might run the ball 50 times.

In the end I have more faith in Trevor Lawrence making a big play than I do in Danny Dimes. It feels gross to take a 2-4 team and lay three points against a 5-1 team, but New York does not have the roster of a 6-1 team and I expect they come back down to earth on the road. 

Pick: Jaguars -3 (-105)

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change