Giants vs. Pirates Prediction and Odds for Saturday, June 18 (Poor Lineups Keeps Under Train Chugging)
By Joe Summers
The 25-38 Pittsburgh Pirates have lost 10 of 11 as they host the 36-27 San Francisco Giants today at 4:05 PM EST.
Perhaps staying in sync with the Golden State Warriors, the Giants are red-hot. They've won six of their last seven and send Alex Wood to the mound, who has thrown back-to-back quality starts.
Jose Quintana pitches for Pittsburgh with a 7.11 ERA in three starts this month. He's struggled with stamina and surrendered three home runs in his last outing, so he needs to settle down to give the Pirates any chance.
Can Quintana right the ship or will San Francisco keep rolling behind another strong performance from Wood?
Let's peak at the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to find the value in this Giants vs Pirates matchup:
Giants vs Pirates Odds, Run Line and Total
Run Line:
- Giants -1.5 (-115)
- Pirates +1.5 (-105)
Moneyline:
- Giants: -175
- Pirates: +160
Total:
- 8.5 (Over -105/Under -115)
Giants vs Pirates Prediction and Pick
All signs point towards the under in this one. Both the Giants and Pirates rank in the bottom-five in the league in OPS over the last two weeks. San Francisco averaged three runs per game in their last 10 while the Pirates averaged 2.4 runs per game in that stretch.
Alex Wood is settling into a groove, compiling a 2.45 ERA in June and showcasing an ability to last longer in games. Jose Quintana, meanwhile, is struggling but faced the dangerous Dodgers and Braves this month, so I'm willing to cut him some slack. His 3.61 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) implies he's still pitching well and the Giants' lineup should feel like a cakewalk.
The wind is blowing out to center field and that scares me, but both Wood and Quintana are groundball pitchers that will mitigate the damage.
Looking to the trends, we get further proof to look towards the under. It's 8-0-3 in San Francisco's last 11 games, 3-0-1 in Wood's last four starts, and 5-2-1 in Pittsburgh's last eight as a home underdog.
Trust the trends and each lineup's ineptitude to carry the day and give us an under cash. If you're feeling frisky, might I recommend parlaying the Giants moneyline (-175) with the under for +194 odds, or $48.44 on a $25 bet.
Pick: Under 8.5 (-115) and Half-Unit on Under 8.5/Giants moneyline parlay (+194)
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.