Grizzlies vs. Warriors Prediction and Odds: Golden State Dominates From Beyond the Arc

Steph Curry is poised to have a big night when he and the Warriors take on the Grizzlies.
Steph Curry is poised to have a big night when he and the Warriors take on the Grizzlies. / Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports
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The Memphis Grizzlies (19-13) look to continue their surprisingly successful season, but they have a tall order infront of them tonight when they take on the Golden State Warriors (25-6).

Memphis will try to avoid losing its third straight game, after falling to the OKC Thunder and the Portland Trail Blazers on back-to-back nights this past weekend. Meanwhile, the Warriors sit half a game back from the Suns in the Western Conference standings, and can leapfrog them with a win and a Phoenix loss.

Let's take a look at the odds for this game, courtesy of WynnBET.

Grizzlies vs. Warriors Odds, Spread, and Total

Spread:

  • Grizzlies +5 (-110)
  • Warriors -5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Grizzlies +175
  • Warriors -200

Total:

  • 217 (Over -110/Under -110)

Grizzlies vs. Warriors Betting Trends

  • Grizzlies are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games.
  • The UNDER is 7-3 in the Grizzlies last 10 games.
  • Grizzlies are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games vs. Warriors.
  • The UNDER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings between these teams.
  • The Warriors are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games played on a Thursday.

Grizzlies vs. Warriors Prediction and Pick

If you're going to bet on a game that includes the Warriors, you have to look at how the other team does defending the 3-point shot. In the Grizzlies' case, it's bad news. Memphis ranks 29th in the NBA in opponent 3pt field goal percentage, allowing opponents to hit 37.1% of their shots from beyond the arc.

The bad news gets worse when you consider that the Grizzlies rank eighth in the NBA in two point shot rate, and the Warriors rank second in opponent 2-point field goal percentage, allowing teams to only hit 49.8% of their shots down low.

The Grizzlies biggest advantage they have against most teams is rebounding, as they rank fourth in rebounding rate in the NBA. Well, as one final cherry on top, Golden State ranks above them in that category two. The Warriors are the second best rebounding team in the league, with only Utah grabbing a higher percentage of boards.

This is a stylistic nightmare for the Grizzlies, so I'll back the Warriors to win and cover.

Pick: Warriors -5.5