Guardians vs. White Sox Prediction and Odds for Tuesday, September 20 (How to Bet AL Central Showdown)

Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Dylan Cease.
Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Dylan Cease. / Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports
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Could this be the final stand for the Chicago White Sox?

The preseason AL Central favorite White Sox have played expectations this season, but are still hanging around the AL Central race, trailing the first place Cleveland Guardians by four games. Can AL Cy Young candidate Dylan Cease get the series starter on the right note and continue to pitch the White Sox into playoff contention?

Let's break it down by checking out the odds from FanDuel Sportsbook:

 

Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line and Total

Guardians vs. White Sox Prediction and Pick

Cease is at the forefront of the AL Cy Young race, but I think the Guardians can be a rough matchup for him. He has a ton of movement on his slider, but his command is not as great as one would think. He walks a ton of batters in addition to striking most of them out (more than 11 strikeouts per 9 innings, which is countered by nearly four walks).

Cleveland has the lowest strikeout rate in baseball this season, so Cleveland showcases a ton of discipline at the plate and works pitch counts. While I'm not itching to play the Guardians at this number with Aaron Civale on the mound (5.40 ERA this season), I think the over has some merit.

Chicago is in good shape at the plate of late, top five in wRC+ in the month of September as it hangs around the divisional race. I expect the White Sox plate runs and push this matchup over the total. Cease's command keeps me off the side, so I'm looking at the over as my favorite bet in this one.

LEAN: OVER 7.5 (-105)


Track all of Reed's bets at Betstamp HERE!