The Hawks are on the board.
Thanks to Trae Young's heroics in the final seconds of Game 3, the Hawks were able to inch closer to the No. 1 seed Heat with a 111-110 victory. With Kyle Lowry's injury possibly keeping him out for part of this series, can Atlanta even it at 2 in front of their home crowd?
Let's check out the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook before breaking down Game 4:
Heat vs. Hawks Odds, Spread and Total
Spread:
- Heat: -2 (-110)
- Hawks: +2 (-110)
Moneyline:
- Heat: -135
- Hawks: +112
Total: 221 (Over -110/Under -110)
Heat vs. Hawks Prediction and Pick
I was on the Hawks in Game 3 as I don't see the difference between the two teams and Atlanta's had continued success at home. The Hawks are now 28-14 at home when you factor in the Game 3 win and are top 10 in net rating at State Farm Arena (+5.0), up from -1.7 on the road during the regular season.
It's unknown if Lowry will be available in Game 4 after he left Game 3 early with a hamstring injury. Even if he plays, he will be limited. The Heat were slightly worse on offense with Lowry on the sideline during the regular season.
I don't have a strong opinion on the side, but I'm expecting another close affair. My favorite bet is on the under. Game 1 was a lopsided affair and went way under the total. Game 2 had a ton of late game meaningless fouls that inflated the final score, and still stayed under the closing total of 221.5 (115-105). Game 3 also finished under by a smidge, a 111-110 Hawks win after closing 222.
This has been the third fastest series from a pace perspective, but ShotQuality has assessed that the team's shot profiles over the last two games should have resulted in 3 fewer points in Game 2 and 4 fewer in Game 3.
This total seems to be the ceiling of production for these two offenses, so I'll look to make it four in a row and back the under.
LEAN: UNDER 221
You can find all of Reed's bets HERE!