Houston vs. Memphis Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 6

Houston Cougars head coach Dana Holgorsen.
Houston Cougars head coach Dana Holgorsen. / Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The biggest disappointment in college football this season is Houston, who had goals of being the Group of Five New Year's Six team, but appears heading for a .500 or best year.

The Cougars brought back quarterback Clayton Tune and future NFL receiver Nathaniel "Tank" Dell as well as a strong defensive line, but the team hasn't meshed at all, going to overtime in three of four games and losing to Tulane with a third string quarterback at home last week.

Will Dana Holgorsen's crew get up for an AAC matchup against Memphis on Friday night? Here are the odds from FanDuel Sportsbook:

Houston vs. Memphis Odds, Spread and Total

Houston vs. Memphis Betting Trends

  • Houston is 1-4 against the spread (ATS) this season, but that lone cover came as an underdog
  • Memphis is 2-2 ATS as a favorite this season
  • Both teams are 4-1 to the OVER this season

Houston vs. Memphis Prediction and Pick

Houston had lofty goals this season with a win total of nine heading into 2022, but the Cougars have fallen right on their faces and it was capped off by a dismal loss in overtime to Tulane last week. Is this the time to buy the Cougars? I'm not sure I can get there with a team that looks this checked out already.

It's narrative-y to bet that type of way, but the numbers don't help their case either as the team is 81st in yards per play allowed and is 93rd in defensive success rate. On offense, the team isn't doing much better, 88th in YPP and converting only 52% of red zone drives into touchdowns.

Memphis' defense could be a reprieve for the Houston offense, 99th in EPA/Play this season, but they are stout against the run (32nd EPA/Play). This could be come a back and forth affair if Tune and Dell get going on offense, but I can't back them as underdogs.

Seth Henigan has emerged to conduct what has been an elite Memphis passing attack, which is 28th in success rate through the air. The Houston secondary has been stout, but the team also has committed the most penalties in the country.

Both teams are in the upper half of the country in terms of plays per minute and with each team's suspect defense. I can't trust Houston, so I'll look to the over as my favorite bet in this game.