Houston vs. Wisconsin Prediction and Odds: Expect a Low Scoring Battle at Maui Invitational

Nov 16, 2021; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston is set to dominate Wisconsin on both sides of the ball in the Maui Invitational
Nov 16, 2021; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston is set to dominate Wisconsin on both sides of the ball in the Maui Invitational / Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
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The No. 12 Houston Cougars started their Maui Invitational run in emphatic fashion, beating Butler 70-52 in a wire-to-wire thrashing. Houston led by 17-0 six minutes through the game.

On the other end, Wisconsin took the scenic route to a 69-58 win over Texas A&M, erasing a double digit deficit in the first half to pull away later on.

How should we handicap this matchup between two methodical offenses? Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook.

Houston vs. Wisconsin Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Houston: -7.5 (-105)
  • Wisconsin: +7.5 (-115)

Moneyline:

  • Houston: -300
  • Wisconsin: +240

Total: 122.5

Houston vs. Wisconsin Prediction and Pick

This is a battle between two top defenses, Houston third in defensive efficiency and Wisconsin 11th, per KenPom.

Both teams play disciplined, in your face man-to-man defense, and should have an edge against both offenses that are outside the top 200 in average offensive possession length. Expect the clock to be running with time consuming sets and missed jumps shots.

For the Badgers to hang in this game, the team is going to need the likes of Johnny Davis and Brad Davison to get going from deep. Houston doesn't allow any shots inside, the second lowest percentage of points allowed on two pointers, if you believe in Wisconsin's perimeter shooting, the Badgers are a valuable underdog bet in a low possession matchup.

This is an under play for me with both elite defense and each offense limiting transition opportunities, each top 33 in turnover rate. I see a ton of missed shots and slow possessions with this game a race to 60 points.

PICK: UNDER 122.5

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