Iowa State vs. TCU Prediction and Odds (Keep Fading Cyclones in Fort Worth)

Feb 8, 2022; Fort Worth, Texas, USA;  TCU Horned Frogs guard Damion Baugh (10)
Feb 8, 2022; Fort Worth, Texas, USA; TCU Horned Frogs guard Damion Baugh (10) / Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
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Iowa State can't stop the bleeding, now losers of four straight and six of their last eight, as they sit 3-9 in Big 12 play. The team now heads to Fort Worth to face a stingy TCU team that is looking to stay on track to make the NCAA Tournament.

This is set to be a defensive struggle between two elite clubs on that side of the ball. Let's check out the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook and find the best bet.

Iowa State vs. TCU Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Iowa State: +4 (-110)
  • TCU: -4 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Iowa State: +150
  • TCU: -180

Total: 126.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Iowa State vs. TCU Prediction and Pick

Both offenses struggle quite a bit, but Iowa State's are less fixable. TCU is going to need to take care of the ball, the team is bottom 30 in turnover rate and they will be facing the fourth highest turnover causing team in the country in Iowa State, but they have shown an ability to protect the rock and score against active defenses like when they defeated an elite defensive team in LSU last month.

Meanwhile, TCU is able to put a ton of pressure on the rim, ranking top 50 in shooting proximity this season and finishing at the 61st highest clip, per Haslemetrics. On the other end, Iowa State is also a strong finishing team, but they don't get their as often, ranking in the middle of the pack nationally in their shot proximity ranking.

Overall, Jamie Dixon's squad is still in the mix for a Tournament berth with the 30th ranked defense and a pair of score-first guards in Mike Miles and Damion Baugh. Meanwhile, Iowa State can't get out of their own way and are struggling on offense, evident in the second half against Kansas State when the team blew a double digit lead.

I'm leaning towards the Horned Frogs to get it done at home.

LEAN: TCU -4

All of Reed's college basketball plays can be tracked here, his best bets column for college basketball is 60-54-3 for +2.9 units.