It's a Trap: Which College Football Odds are Most Deceiving in Week 6?

Alabama defeated Ole Miss last week, and while that’s not alarming, the pre-game total set at 79.5 was. Many thought this game could hit 90 on the scoreboard, but it wasn’t meant to be. The Crimson Tide beat the Rebels 42-21, a total of 63. Still pretty high, but quite a distance from lofty expectations.

Maryland was seen by some as a potential upset pick over then-No. 5 Iowa, and did the Terrapins cover the narrow three-point spread? No, they lost by 37.

That’ll happen when you commit 11 penalties and seven turnovers. 

The Alabama-Ole Miss total of 79.5 and the Maryland-Iowa three-point spread were a little deceiving. Which lines are deceiving entering Week 6?

All odds are courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Stanford vs. Arizona State (-13)

Since Tanner McKee took over the starting quarterback job for Stanford, the Cardinal have beat USC 42-28, beat lowly Vanderbilt 41-23, lost to then-No. 24 UCLA by 11, then beat then-No.3 Oregon by a touchdown.

This will probably be the best passing offense that Arizona State has faced this season, and it could cause some problems. They didn’t have too many issues with previous opponent quarterbacks like Davis Brumfield of UNLV, or Brendon Lewis of Colorado, or Justin Miller of Southern Utah. 

The best quarterback Arizona State has faced was Jarren Hall of BYU, and the Sun Devils lost.

McKee is good, and Stanford should hang within 13 points on Friday night.

Ball State (+12) vs. Western Michigan

MAC-tion!

Ball State’s defense has been pretty bad. They’ve allowed 29 points per game this season, and allowed a season low 16 to the Army Black Knights in a surprise win last week. Now the Cardinals go back on the road to Kalamazoo to face a Western Michigan Broncos team that may have the best quarterback in the MAC, Kaleb Eleby.

Eleby has thrown for 1,181 yards and nine touchdowns to zero interceptions this season, and threw for 336 yards and three touchdowns against a Pittsburgh Panthers team that had its ACC Championship dreams wrinkled in the 44-41 loss to Western Michigan.

Ball State did beat Army last week, but Army didn’t have the one thing Ball State can’t stop: a quarterback.

Eleby will help the Broncos win by at least two touchdowns.

Georgia (-15) vs. Auburn

The Georgia Bulldogs have pummeled everyone in their path so far, but this game against the Auburn Tigers, may be their toughest matchup of the season. Both teams stack up very well, they both average 40 points per game on offense, and while Georgia allows an average of four measly points per game, Auburn’s defense allows an average of 16.

Tiger’s quarterback Bo Nix has six touchdown passes to zero interceptions, and Auburn has not lost a turnover battle in any game it has played this season. Georgia lost the turnover battle in its Week 1 win over Clemson and its Week 3 win over South Carolina. The Bulldogs can’t be making mistakes like that against the Tigers.

And I believe they will, because I’m not a believer in JT Daniels or the Bulldogs’ offense. The mistakes will cost Georgia eventually, and I think Auburn will cover at -15 on the spread.

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