It’s a Trap: Which CFB Odds are Most Deceiving for Week 8
By Reed Wallach
Not all lines look as they seem.
Sometimes they appear too easy, but I'm here to tell you that there's a reason the spread is what it is.
Here we go, three trap lines for College Football Week 8, with odds courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.
Iowa State (-7) vs. Oklahoma State
The Cyclones were one of the most highly touted teams in the country heading into the year, but have fallen below expectations after losses to Iowa and Baylor this season.
Meanwhile, Oklahoma State comes in at its peak after a come from behind victory against Texas on the road. Sure, let's give credit to the Cowboys defense, who held Texas to 12 total yards and no first downs over their last six possessions, but they are in for a different test on the road against Iowa State.
The Cyclones will challenge the Oklahoma State offense like Texas wasn't able to. The Pokes got a big effort from running back, who cad 158 yards on 33 carries in the win, but ISU is limited opposing running backs to 2.84 yards per carry.
The onus is going to fall on quarterback Spencer Sanders, and I'm not putting much faith in him. He completed 19-of-32 passes for 178 yards in the win and has struggled with pressure all season. The Iowa State defense is towards the top of the nation in havoc rate, and I expect them to win this one by two possessions behind a strong defensive effort.
BYU (-4) vs. Washington State
Washington State has won three straight and BYU has lost two straight, so is this line backwards? No.
Let's dissect the previous statement with some details. Wazzu won two three in a row against middling PAC-12 competition, while BYU was crushed by turnovers against Boise State in a loss and had a tough matchup on the road against a ranked Baylor club.
Heading into this week, Washington State's coach Nick Rolovich was fired after his decision not to receive the COVID-19 vaccine in a messy ordeal.
This line has steamed up as a result of that after opening with BYU as slight favorites, but this matchup should suit the visitors well. Washington State is outside the top 100 in defensive success rate and have benefitted form an outlier amount of turnovers, ninth in the country with 15.
If you take out the Boise State debacle, BYU has just three on the year through seven games. I'm counting on quarterback Jaren Hall to protect the rock and string together impressive drives against a team that has been getting by on turnover luck and now has a huge distraction in the locker room.
Army (+3) vs. Wake Forest
No. 16 Wake Forest is off of a bye and had plenty of time to prepare for the Army triple option, this line is a gift, right?
Not so fast. You can prep for this unique scheme, but the personnel is not on this Wake team to slow down the Black Knights offense.
Wake has the 11th worst defensive success rate in the country and is also at the bottom in defensive line yards, they will be outclassed by the offensive line of Army and the precision of the triple option.
Quarterback Sam Hartman anchors a vertical passing game for Wake Forest, but we have seen Army take care of the most prolific passing offense in the country in Western Kentucky this season; I think the hosts can win in front of a sellout crowd.