It's a Trap: Which College Football Odds are Most Deceiving in Week 7?

Then-No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide were 18-point favorites last week against the Texas A&M Aggies, and Texas A&M would upset Alabama, 41-38.

Last week the Ball State Cardinals were 12-point underdogs to the Western Michigan Broncos, and not only did they cover, they won straight up, 45-20.

Then-No. 10 BYU Cougars were six-point favorites over the Boise State Broncos, and the Broncos covered, upsetting the Cougars, 26-17.

Some lines appear deceiving. Which lines appear deceiving heading into Week 7?

All odds are courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Purdue vs. No. 2 Iowa (-12), Over 43.5

Let’s start with a two-fer.

Everyone knows how great the Iowa Hawkeyes defense has been this season. Iowa has allowed just 183.7 passing yards per game, 90.3 rushing yards allowed per game, and have averaged just 13 points against per game. 

But the Purdue Boilermakers’ defense has been quietly good, allowing just 175.2 passing yards per game, 124.4 rushing yards per game, and just 15.5 points against per game. 

Both teams' offenses stack pretty close statistically as well, so if Purdue can keep the turnover differential in check, they should be able to hang in this game, and at least not lose by more than 12.

The defenses, and somewhat underwhelming offenses, should keep this a low scoring game. The under has been friendly to Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City.

Fun Fact: Last time Purdue played a No. 2 team, they beat No. 2 Ohio State, 49-20, on Oct. 20, 2018.

Iowa State vs. Kansas State (+6.5)

The Iowa State Cyclones started the season with a series of hiccups on offense. They only scored 16 points in a narrow win over FCS Northern Iowa in Week 1, then only put up 17 against then-No. 10 Iowa in Week 2. Since then, Iowa State has put up 48 points on the UNLV Rebels, 29 on the Baylor Bears (in a loss), and 59 on the Kansas Jayhawks.

The Kansas State Wildcats have struggled defensively in the last two weeks, allowing the Oklahoma State Cowboys post 31 points on the scoreboard and Oklahoma Sooners to score 37. The Wildcats may struggle to put up points of their own against the Cyclones’ defense that has allowed just 15.6 points per game.

Iowa State should win by at least a touchdown.

Army vs. Wisconsin (+14)

The Army Black Knights tough loss to the Ball State Cardinals last time out, losing 28-16. But even after losing to Ball State by 12, they have a decent matchup against a disappointing Wisconsin Badgers team in Week 7.

Wisconsin shutout the Illinois Fighting Illini in its last game, but are still just 2-3 on the season. Sure, they’ve lost all three games to big programs, such as Penn State, Notre Dame, and Michigan, but their offense has been so bad that they shouldn’t be favored by two touchdowns against Army’s decent defense.

The Badgers can run, but the Black Knight’s rushing defense allows just 54 rushing yards per game. And Army can run, but Wisconsin’s rushing defense allows just 41.4 rushing yards per game.

The Black Knights (34.4 points per game) have done a better job than the Badgers (19.6 points per game) of getting the ball in the endzone.

This game is going to be an old fashioned battle in the trenches, and I can’t picture Wisconsin winning by more than two touchdowns.

I actually like Army here as an upset pick at +425 on the moneyline.