It's a Trap: Which NFL Odds are Most Deceiving in Week 11?

Just in Week 10 alone, we saw several notable upsets that public bettors would have never seen coming.

It began with the Baltimore Ravens losing outright to the Miami Dolphins on Thursday Night Football as 7.5-point road favorites. Then, the New England Patriots defeated the Cleveland Browns by 38 points. Meanwhile the Washington Football Team dominated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Tom Brady off a bye week and, the Carolina Panthers defeated the 1-loss Arizona Cardinals by 24 points in their own building.

If that weren't enough to boggle the mind, the Seattle Seahawks in Russell Wilson's return put up a goose egg to the Green Bay Packers, and the Detroit Lions didn't lose a game; tying the Pittsburgh Steelers in overtime.

Somewhere in that collection of odd events you were probably on the wrong side of the game in Week 10. You confidently bet on one side, but were ultimately deceived. 

The NFL schedule can be an absolute minefield, so let’s tip-toe our way through a few games this week that could be traps.

Odds are courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

NFL Week 11 Trap Games

• Ravens vs. Bears (+5)
• Packers vs. Vikings (+1.5)
• Lions vs. Browns (-11)

Baltimore Ravens vs. Chicago Bears (+5)

The Bears appear to be progressing, but still have a record of 3-6, and are only 4-5 against the spread. One thing they have struggled with is rushing defense, currently 24th in the NFL, allowing 122.8 rushing yards per game.

One thing that the Ravens do well is running the football, as they are first in the NFL with an average of 154.1 rushing yards per game.

Baltimore has done well in the Red Zone, scoring on 70 percent of their appearances near the end zone.

Cue the Twilight Zone theme music.

Football is a war, and one man does not an army make. I present to you a one Mr. Lamar Jackson, the captain of an ever-depleting platoon. While wars can be won by sheer numbers, Mr. Jackson will soon find that he can win a war all on his own. Using everything in his arsenal to move the ball downfield and into . . . the Red Zone. 

Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings (+1.5)

The Packers just held Russell Wilson and the Seahawks scoreless in Week 10. Chances are that Wilson wasn’t ready to get that damaged finger back into action.

Either way, it was an impressive showing for an impressive Green Bay defense.

This week, the Packers face a Vikings’ defense that has been flattened by their opponents’ ground games. Minnesota is allowing 130.6 rushing yards per game, 28th in the NFL. With Aaron Jones out, A.J. Dillon will be a key factor in the Packers offense once again.

The Vikings held Justin Herbert under 200 passing yards last week, and will need to do the same with Aaron Rodgers in Week 11, if they intend to cover such a narrow spread.

Detroit Lions vs. Cleveland Browns (-11)

The Lions are trash. Shame on Pittsburgh for not picking up a win when they should have.

The Browns can’t make the same mistake in Week 11, and after the beating they received in Week 10, they will want to show that they are still alive in the AFC North.

Jared Goff might sit this one out, so guess who the starting quarterback is expected to be if Goff doesn’t suit up. Give up?

It’s Tim Boyle.

Cleveland has to get back on the right track. They should be able to cover this spread. If Nick Chubb returns this week, there is no reason to believe the Browns can’t win by two touchdowns.