Jaguars vs. Chiefs Prediction and Odds for NFL Week 10 (Expect Points in KC with Jacksonville's Weak Secondary)

Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster (9)
Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster (9) / Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

It wasn’t pretty in Week 9, but Andy Reid is 21-3 out of the bye in his career and the Kansas City Chiefs are 6-2, in first place in the AFC West. A 20-17 overtime win against Malik Willis and the Titans was not ideal, but it still counts the same.

The Jacksonville Jaguars also got a win in Week 9. A 27-20 victory over the Raiders was much needed to get to 3-6. 

The Chiefs are now big favorites over the Jaguars. Let’s take a look at the odds. 

Jaguars vs. Chiefs Odds, Spread and Total

Chiefs and Jaguars Betting Trends

  • Chiefs are 3-5 ATS
  • Jaguars are 3-6 ATS
  • Over is 6-0 in last six Jaguars road games
  • Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in last five games following a straight up win

Jaguars vs. Chiefs Prediction and Pick

The Jaguars defense has been solid this year, especially against the run. Josh Jacobs has been on a tear this season, but last week, Jacksonville held him to 67 yards on 17 carries. They are No. 7 in the league against the run, but against the pass, they are 22nd. That is the bad news, because I’m pretty sure Andy Reid would never run the ball if he could truly have it his way.

The Chiefs are the best passing offense in the league and could have a big day against Jacksonville. 

Patrick Mahomes threw the ball 68 times in Week 9 and completed 43 of them for 446 yards, but Tennessee allowed only one touchdown pass and got lucky with an interception that bounced off
Travis Kelce’s hands. There were two missed kicks by Kansas City and more missed opportunities in that game or else it could have been much worse.

The Chiefs have their offense humming, Travis Kelce is the No. 1 target, and Juju Smith-Schuster has emerged as Mahomes’ favorite wide receiver on the team. He had 10 grabs for 88 yards in Week 9. 

There will be too much firepower for Jacksonville to stop, but the over has hit consistently with the Jags on the road, so that will be my play this week. 

Pick: Over 49.5 (-107)

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change